Xi Jinping's consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army drives the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior figures like General Zhang Youxia, have reinforced loyalty without triggering visible resistance or factional breakdown. China's Leninist structures, pervasive surveillance, and centralized command limit opportunities for coordinated challenges. Historical patterns of internal discipline and the absence of confirmed high-level dissent further support stability through the period. While unforeseen events such as acute economic disruption, leadership health crises, or major external conflicts could introduce uncertainty, these remain low-probability triggers given institutional safeguards.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
4% вероятность
$153,752 Объем
$153,752 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
4% вероятность
$153,752 Объем
$153,752 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army drives the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior figures like General Zhang Youxia, have reinforced loyalty without triggering visible resistance or factional breakdown. China's Leninist structures, pervasive surveillance, and centralized command limit opportunities for coordinated challenges. Historical patterns of internal discipline and the absence of confirmed high-level dissent further support stability through the period. While unforeseen events such as acute economic disruption, leadership health crises, or major external conflicts could introduce uncertainty, these remain low-probability triggers given institutional safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$153,752Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army drives the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior figures like General Zhang Youxia, have reinforced loyalty without triggering visible resistance or factional breakdown. China's Leninist structures, pervasive surveillance, and centralized command limit opportunities for coordinated challenges. Historical patterns of internal discipline and the absence of confirmed high-level dissent further support stability through the period. While unforeseen events such as acute economic disruption, leadership health crises, or major external conflicts could introduce uncertainty, these remain low-probability triggers given institutional safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$153,752Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army drives the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior figures like General Zhang Youxia, have reinforced loyalty without triggering visible resistance or factional breakdown. China's Leninist structures, pervasive surveillance, and centralized command limit opportunities for coordinated challenges. Historical patterns of internal discipline and the absence of confirmed high-level dissent further support stability through the period. While unforeseen events such as acute economic disruption, leadership health crises, or major external conflicts could introduce uncertainty, these remain low-probability triggers given institutional safeguards.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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