Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, reinforced by repeated anti-corruption purges of senior generals including the early-2026 investigation of Zhang Youxia, underpins the 96.8 percent trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. These measures have removed potential centers of resistance and installed loyalists throughout the Central Military Commission, while official communications and public appearances through mid-2026 show no factional fractures or military disloyalty. Trader pricing reflects this institutional stability rather than any forecast. A qualifying event would still require verifiable, widely reported action within the resolution window, a threshold unmet by past rumors. Only an acute economic shock, major policy reversal, or sudden elite defection could realistically reopen the possibility before the close of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$127,681 Объем
$127,681 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$127,681 Объем
$127,681 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, reinforced by repeated anti-corruption purges of senior generals including the early-2026 investigation of Zhang Youxia, underpins the 96.8 percent trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. These measures have removed potential centers of resistance and installed loyalists throughout the Central Military Commission, while official communications and public appearances through mid-2026 show no factional fractures or military disloyalty. Trader pricing reflects this institutional stability rather than any forecast. A qualifying event would still require verifiable, widely reported action within the resolution window, a threshold unmet by past rumors. Only an acute economic shock, major policy reversal, or sudden elite defection could realistically reopen the possibility before the close of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$127,681Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, reinforced by repeated anti-corruption purges of senior generals including the early-2026 investigation of Zhang Youxia, underpins the 96.8 percent trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. These measures have removed potential centers of resistance and installed loyalists throughout the Central Military Commission, while official communications and public appearances through mid-2026 show no factional fractures or military disloyalty. Trader pricing reflects this institutional stability rather than any forecast. A qualifying event would still require verifiable, widely reported action within the resolution window, a threshold unmet by past rumors. Only an acute economic shock, major policy reversal, or sudden elite defection could realistically reopen the possibility before the close of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$127,681Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, reinforced by repeated anti-corruption purges of senior generals including the early-2026 investigation of Zhang Youxia, underpins the 96.8 percent trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. These measures have removed potential centers of resistance and installed loyalists throughout the Central Military Commission, while official communications and public appearances through mid-2026 show no factional fractures or military disloyalty. Trader pricing reflects this institutional stability rather than any forecast. A qualifying event would still require verifiable, widely reported action within the resolution window, a threshold unmet by past rumors. Only an acute economic shock, major policy reversal, or sudden elite defection could realistically reopen the possibility before the close of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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