**Traders see a low likelihood of President Trump insulting Chinese leader Xi Jinping during the September 24 White House summit because recent bilateral diplomacy has emphasized personal rapport and stability over confrontation.** Trump has repeatedly praised Xi in prior encounters, including the May 2026 Beijing meeting, describing him as a “great leader” while inviting the state visit. Preparations for the Washington summit include ceremonial honors, such as a presidential airport welcome, and focus on extending the tariff truce, securing Chinese purchases of U.S. goods like Boeing aircraft and agricultural products, and managing tensions over Taiwan and technology controls without escalation. Both sides have signaled modest expectations, with institutional channels supporting continuity ahead of U.S. midterms. No recent public statements or actions indicate a shift toward personal criticism, reinforcing the market’s assessment that diplomatic incentives favor a non-confrontational outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
Да
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Xi Jinping between the first calendar date (ET) and the final calendar date (ET) of Xi's visit to the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. Qualifying insults may be issued on any calendar day (ET) of the visit.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the visit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Xi Jinping between the first calendar date (ET) and the final calendar date (ET) of Xi's visit to the United States. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. Qualifying insults may be issued on any calendar day (ET) of the visit.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the visit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**Traders see a low likelihood of President Trump insulting Chinese leader Xi Jinping during the September 24 White House summit because recent bilateral diplomacy has emphasized personal rapport and stability over confrontation.** Trump has repeatedly praised Xi in prior encounters, including the May 2026 Beijing meeting, describing him as a “great leader” while inviting the state visit. Preparations for the Washington summit include ceremonial honors, such as a presidential airport welcome, and focus on extending the tariff truce, securing Chinese purchases of U.S. goods like Boeing aircraft and agricultural products, and managing tensions over Taiwan and technology controls without escalation. Both sides have signaled modest expectations, with institutional channels supporting continuity ahead of U.S. midterms. No recent public statements or actions indicate a shift toward personal criticism, reinforcing the market’s assessment that diplomatic incentives favor a non-confrontational outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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