President Trump’s pattern of direct, often personal confrontations with reporters and political opponents continues to shape expectations for this market. In the first half of September 2026 he publicly rebuked multiple journalists from ABC and CNN during appearances tied to the Republican midterm convention, labeling them “the worst,” “fake news,” and instructing them to be quiet. These exchanges occurred against the backdrop of ongoing U.S.-Iran military operations, coverage of munitions shortages, and midterm messaging on economic incentives. With the resolution window closing September 30 and scheduled events including a UN General Assembly address on the 22nd, traders focus on whether fresh press interactions or campaign rhetoric will produce additional named targets in the remaining days. Historical frequency of such statements during high-visibility periods supports elevated probabilities for several listed individuals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$128,388 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Марк Карни
84%
Такер Карлсон
63%
Летишия Джеймс
50%
Кэти Хоукул
44%
Марджори Тейлор Грин
44%
Илон Маск
43%
Илхан Омар
43%
Хиллари Клинтон
42%
Джон Оссофф
40%
Кэндис Оуэнс
38%
Зохран Мамдани
30%
Элизабет Уоррен
31%
Александрия Окасио-Кортес
46%
Нора О'Доннелл
28%
Фридрих Мерц
27%
Джером Пауэлл
27%
Джимми Киммел
41%
Эммануэль Макрон
22%
Энди Бернхэм
28%
Биньямин Нетаньяху
11%
Кевин Варш
8%
Стивен Колберт
27%
Си Цзиньпин
7%
Мухаммед бин Салман
5%
Папа Лев XIV
5%
Пэм Бонди
4%
Дж.Д. Ванс
13%
Каролин Левитт
3%
Владимир Путин
3%
Алекс Джонс
15%
Мегин Келли
45%
Мелания Трамп
33%
Адам Шифф
46%
$128,388 Объем
Марк Карни
$4,268 Объем
84%
Такер Карлсон
$2,650 Объем
63%
Летишия Джеймс
$493 Объем
50%
Кэти Хоукул
$2,172 Объем
44%
Марджори Тейлор Грин
$1,505 Объем
44%
Илон Маск
$113 Объем
43%
Илхан Омар
$295 Объем
43%
Хиллари Клинтон
$1,966 Объем
42%
Джон Оссофф
$103 Объем
40%
Кэндис Оуэнс
$2,885 Объем
38%
Зохран Мамдани
$2,477 Объем
30%
Элизабет Уоррен
$457 Объем
31%
Александрия Окасио-Кортес
$235 Объем
46%
Нора О'Доннелл
$52 Объем
28%
Фридрих Мерц
$2,097 Объем
27%
Джером Пауэлл
$1,759 Объем
27%
Джимми Киммел
$881 Объем
41%
Эммануэль Макрон
$4,279 Объем
22%
Энди Бернхэм
$3,124 Объем
28%
Биньямин Нетаньяху
$1,615 Объем
11%
Кевин Варш
$72,781 Объем
8%
Стивен Колберт
$321 Объем
27%
Си Цзиньпин
$1,933 Объем
7%
Мухаммед бин Салман
$408 Объем
5%
Папа Лев XIV
$1,356 Объем
5%
Пэм Бонди
$250 Объем
4%
Дж.Д. Ванс
$1,500 Объем
13%
Каролин Левитт
$292 Объем
3%
Владимир Путин
$2,632 Объем
3%
Алекс Джонс
$204 Объем
15%
Мегин Келли
$377 Объем
45%
Мелания Трамп
$95 Объем
33%
Адам Шифф
$61 Объем
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s pattern of direct, often personal confrontations with reporters and political opponents continues to shape expectations for this market. In the first half of September 2026 he publicly rebuked multiple journalists from ABC and CNN during appearances tied to the Republican midterm convention, labeling them “the worst,” “fake news,” and instructing them to be quiet. These exchanges occurred against the backdrop of ongoing U.S.-Iran military operations, coverage of munitions shortages, and midterm messaging on economic incentives. With the resolution window closing September 30 and scheduled events including a UN General Assembly address on the 22nd, traders focus on whether fresh press interactions or campaign rhetoric will produce additional named targets in the remaining days. Historical frequency of such statements during high-visibility periods supports elevated probabilities for several listed individuals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Объем
$128,388Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s pattern of direct, often personal confrontations with reporters and political opponents continues to shape expectations for this market. In the first half of September 2026 he publicly rebuked multiple journalists from ABC and CNN during appearances tied to the Republican midterm convention, labeling them “the worst,” “fake news,” and instructing them to be quiet. These exchanges occurred against the backdrop of ongoing U.S.-Iran military operations, coverage of munitions shortages, and midterm messaging on economic incentives. With the resolution window closing September 30 and scheduled events including a UN General Assembly address on the 22nd, traders focus on whether fresh press interactions or campaign rhetoric will produce additional named targets in the remaining days. Historical frequency of such statements during high-visibility periods supports elevated probabilities for several listed individuals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$128,388Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s pattern of direct, often personal confrontations with reporters and political opponents continues to shape expectations for this market. In the first half of September 2026 he publicly rebuked multiple journalists from ABC and CNN during appearances tied to the Republican midterm convention, labeling them “the worst,” “fake news,” and instructing them to be quiet. These exchanges occurred against the backdrop of ongoing U.S.-Iran military operations, coverage of munitions shortages, and midterm messaging on economic incentives. With the resolution window closing September 30 and scheduled events including a UN General Assembly address on the 22nd, traders focus on whether fresh press interactions or campaign rhetoric will produce additional named targets in the remaining days. Historical frequency of such statements during high-visibility periods supports elevated probabilities for several listed individuals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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