Israeli forces remain positioned in a limited security zone in southern Lebanon following the March 2026 ground operation against Hezbollah, with advances focused south of the Litani River and no reported movements toward Beirut. US-mediated talks in Rome and elsewhere continue on pilot zones for phased IDF withdrawal in exchange for Lebanese Army deployment and Hezbollah restraint, though implementation has stalled amid sporadic clashes and incidents such as the August 5 killings of Israeli soldiers. Strikes have targeted Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut’s southern suburbs during earlier phases, but ground entry into the capital itself would mark a significant escalation beyond current operations. Upcoming negotiation rounds and verification of any disarmament commitments could influence whether the conflict stays contained or broadens. Trader positioning reflects these diplomatic and military constraints on further advances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИзраильские войска входят в Бейрут...?
Израильские войска входят в Бейрут...?
$137,155 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
31 августа
3%
$137,155 Объем
31 августа
$7,242 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces remain positioned in a limited security zone in southern Lebanon following the March 2026 ground operation against Hezbollah, with advances focused south of the Litani River and no reported movements toward Beirut. US-mediated talks in Rome and elsewhere continue on pilot zones for phased IDF withdrawal in exchange for Lebanese Army deployment and Hezbollah restraint, though implementation has stalled amid sporadic clashes and incidents such as the August 5 killings of Israeli soldiers. Strikes have targeted Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut’s southern suburbs during earlier phases, but ground entry into the capital itself would mark a significant escalation beyond current operations. Upcoming negotiation rounds and verification of any disarmament commitments could influence whether the conflict stays contained or broadens. Trader positioning reflects these diplomatic and military constraints on further advances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Объем
$137,155Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces remain positioned in a limited security zone in southern Lebanon following the March 2026 ground operation against Hezbollah, with advances focused south of the Litani River and no reported movements toward Beirut. US-mediated talks in Rome and elsewhere continue on pilot zones for phased IDF withdrawal in exchange for Lebanese Army deployment and Hezbollah restraint, though implementation has stalled amid sporadic clashes and incidents such as the August 5 killings of Israeli soldiers. Strikes have targeted Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut’s southern suburbs during earlier phases, but ground entry into the capital itself would mark a significant escalation beyond current operations. Upcoming negotiation rounds and verification of any disarmament commitments could influence whether the conflict stays contained or broadens. Trader positioning reflects these diplomatic and military constraints on further advances.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$137,155Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces remain positioned in a limited security zone in southern Lebanon following the March 2026 ground operation against Hezbollah, with advances focused south of the Litani River and no reported movements toward Beirut. US-mediated talks in Rome and elsewhere continue on pilot zones for phased IDF withdrawal in exchange for Lebanese Army deployment and Hezbollah restraint, though implementation has stalled amid sporadic clashes and incidents such as the August 5 killings of Israeli soldiers. Strikes have targeted Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut’s southern suburbs during earlier phases, but ground entry into the capital itself would mark a significant escalation beyond current operations. Upcoming negotiation rounds and verification of any disarmament commitments could influence whether the conflict stays contained or broadens. Trader positioning reflects these diplomatic and military constraints on further advances.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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