Recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 6, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly winds and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus, with 8°C or below at 34.5% and mid-teens clustered near 24%, reflects genuine model spread in boundary-layer stability and potential for clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical September averages around 11.7°C provide context, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria tied to official Schiphol observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 6 сентября?
8°C или ниже 69%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C 43%
8°C или ниже
69%
9°C
36%
10°C
22%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
43%
16°C
43%
17°C
8%
18°C или выше
1%
8°C или ниже 69%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C 43%
8°C или ниже
69%
9°C
36%
10°C
22%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
43%
16°C
43%
17°C
8%
18°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 6, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly winds and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus, with 8°C or below at 34.5% and mid-teens clustered near 24%, reflects genuine model spread in boundary-layer stability and potential for clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical September averages around 11.7°C provide context, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria tied to official Schiphol observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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