The closely matched market odds around 24–26°C for Busan’s lowest temperature on August 28 reflect substantial uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under late-summer conditions. Coastal location on the East Sea moderates extremes through marine influence and sea-breeze effects, while variables such as overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and weak synoptic winds determine how much heat escapes to space versus being trapped near the surface. Clear, calm nights favor the lower end of the range via enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas residual moisture or light onshore flow supports the higher side. Traders weigh these factors against historical August minima and the latest high-resolution model guidance from regional agencies, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded by the Korea Meteorological Administration before midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пусане 28 августа?
25°C 50%
26°C 47%
24°C 45%
23°C 41%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
14%
23°C
41%
24°C
45%
25°C
50%
26°C
47%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 47%
24°C 45%
23°C 41%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
14%
23°C
41%
24°C
45%
25°C
50%
26°C
47%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds around 24–26°C for Busan’s lowest temperature on August 28 reflect substantial uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under late-summer conditions. Coastal location on the East Sea moderates extremes through marine influence and sea-breeze effects, while variables such as overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and weak synoptic winds determine how much heat escapes to space versus being trapped near the surface. Clear, calm nights favor the lower end of the range via enhanced longwave radiation loss, whereas residual moisture or light onshore flow supports the higher side. Traders weigh these factors against historical August minima and the latest high-resolution model guidance from regional agencies, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded by the Korea Meteorological Administration before midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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