**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on August 30 will likely settle between 17–20°C under clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C.** A strong high-pressure system and dry air mass favor radiative cooling after sunset, with temperatures bottoming out near dawn, but recent unseasonably cool conditions on August 28 (high only 21°C, well below the ~30°C August norm) have introduced uncertainty about whether residual cool air or subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum lower. Historical climatology shows an average low near 18°C, and with no precipitation or significant cloud cover expected, traders weigh precise cooling rates against slight forecast spread in minimum temperature outputs from agencies like AEMET.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мадриде 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Мадриде 30 августа?
13°C or below 43%
15°C 35%
14°C 26%
18°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
43%
14°C
26%
15°C
35%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C
15%
19°C
14%
20°C
14%
21°C
13%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
2%
13°C or below 43%
15°C 35%
14°C 26%
18°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$0 Объем
43%
14°C
$0 Объем
26%
15°C
$0 Объем
35%
16°C
$0 Объем
14%
17°C
$0 Объем
14%
18°C
$0 Объем
15%
19°C
$0 Объем
14%
20°C
$0 Объем
14%
21°C
$5 Объем
13%
22°C
$5 Объем
1%
23°C or higher
$265 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on August 30 will likely settle between 17–20°C under clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C.**
A strong high-pressure system and dry air mass favor radiative cooling after sunset, with temperatures bottoming out near dawn, but recent unseasonably cool conditions on August 28 (high only 21°C, well below the ~30°C August norm) have introduced uncertainty about whether residual cool air or subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum lower. Historical climatology shows an average low near 18°C, and with no precipitation or significant cloud cover expected, traders weigh precise cooling rates against slight forecast spread in minimum temperature outputs from agencies like AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$275Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on August 30 will likely settle between 17–20°C under clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C.**
A strong high-pressure system and dry air mass favor radiative cooling after sunset, with temperatures bottoming out near dawn, but recent unseasonably cool conditions on August 28 (high only 21°C, well below the ~30°C August norm) have introduced uncertainty about whether residual cool air or subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum lower. Historical climatology shows an average low near 18°C, and with no precipitation or significant cloud cover expected, traders weigh precise cooling rates against slight forecast spread in minimum temperature outputs from agencies like AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$275Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on August 30 will likely settle between 17–20°C under clear skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–15°C.** A strong high-pressure system and dry air mass favor radiative cooling after sunset, with temperatures bottoming out near dawn, but recent unseasonably cool conditions on August 28 (high only 21°C, well below the ~30°C August norm) have introduced uncertainty about whether residual cool air or subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum lower. Historical climatology shows an average low near 18°C, and with no precipitation or significant cloud cover expected, traders weigh precise cooling rates against slight forecast spread in minimum temperature outputs from agencies like AEMET.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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