Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF, and regional Chinese services converge on an overnight low of 21–23°C for Qingdao on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling after daytime highs near 27°C. Recent days featured elevated humidity and scattered showers that kept minimums elevated near 24°C, but a modest cool-air advection and lighter winds overnight are expected to shave 1–3°C from those values. Hourly guidance shows the nadir occurring between 03:00–06:00 local time, with trader probabilities (22°C at 37.5%, 21°C at 32.5%, 23°C at 31.5%) reflecting small ensemble spreads in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual moisture. New model runs and official updates from China Meteorological Administration tonight will determine whether the floor settles at 21°C or holds near 23°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Циндао 30 августа?
22°C 41%
23°C 35%
20°C 33%
21°C 32%
19°C or below
31%
20°C
33%
21°C
32%
22°C
41%
23°C
35%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
23°C 35%
20°C 33%
21°C 32%
19°C or below
31%
20°C
33%
21°C
32%
22°C
41%
23°C
35%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF, and regional Chinese services converge on an overnight low of 21–23°C for Qingdao on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling after daytime highs near 27°C. Recent days featured elevated humidity and scattered showers that kept minimums elevated near 24°C, but a modest cool-air advection and lighter winds overnight are expected to shave 1–3°C from those values. Hourly guidance shows the nadir occurring between 03:00–06:00 local time, with trader probabilities (22°C at 37.5%, 21°C at 32.5%, 23°C at 31.5%) reflecting small ensemble spreads in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual moisture. New model runs and official updates from China Meteorological Administration tonight will determine whether the floor settles at 21°C or holds near 23°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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