Forecast uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Helsinki on September 16 stems from variable model outputs and local conditions, producing closely matched market-implied odds across 11–16°C thresholds. Southerly winds advect milder maritime air while cloud cover and potential light precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping projected lows near 12–14°C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet current mild advection and urban heat effects in the capital support higher baselines. Traders weigh rapid shifts possible from updated model runs or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before dawn, with resolution hinging on official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 16 сентября?
16°C или выше 92%
6°C или ниже 72%
10°C 40%
7°C 39%
6°C или ниже
72%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
38%
10°C
40%
11°C
29%
12°C
25%
13°C
21%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C или выше
92%
16°C или выше 92%
6°C или ниже 72%
10°C 40%
7°C 39%
6°C или ниже
72%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
38%
10°C
40%
11°C
29%
12°C
25%
13°C
21%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C или выше
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Helsinki on September 16 stems from variable model outputs and local conditions, producing closely matched market-implied odds across 11–16°C thresholds. Southerly winds advect milder maritime air while cloud cover and potential light precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping projected lows near 12–14°C according to consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance. Historical September averages near 9°C provide context, yet current mild advection and urban heat effects in the capital support higher baselines. Traders weigh rapid shifts possible from updated model runs or clearer skies that could enhance cooling before dawn, with resolution hinging on official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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