Trader consensus assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 12°C or below in Jinan on September 3, reflecting aggregated assessments of current model runs indicating strong radiational cooling under clear skies and northeasterly winds. This positioning aligns with observed surface pressure patterns and dew-point depressions that promote rapid nighttime temperature drops, well below the typical early-September climatological minimum near 18–20°C for the region. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, though the dominant scientific signals in short-range guidance leave little room for upward revision absent unexpected cloud cover or advection changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Цзинане 3 сентября?
12°C или ниже 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,683 Объем
$1,683 Объем
12°C или ниже
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C или выше
Нет
12°C или ниже 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,683 Объем
$1,683 Объем
12°C или ниже
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C или выше
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Trader consensus assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 12°C or below in Jinan on September 3, reflecting aggregated assessments of current model runs indicating strong radiational cooling under clear skies and northeasterly winds. This positioning aligns with observed surface pressure patterns and dew-point depressions that promote rapid nighttime temperature drops, well below the typical early-September climatological minimum near 18–20°C for the region. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, though the dominant scientific signals in short-range guidance leave little room for upward revision absent unexpected cloud cover or advection changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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