**Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan tonight, enabling strong radiative cooling under dry autumn conditions and positioning a minimum near 13°C as the dominant outcome.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (84.5% implied probability), while the 14.5% on 12°C or below reflects residual model spread and uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Current observations show daytime highs around 29–32°C with low humidity (around 40%), consistent with seasonal norms but favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Upcoming official station readings from Jinan’s meteorological network will resolve the market, with traders incorporating the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing limited cloud cover and minimal wind to sustain the cool minimum. Historical September lows average near 16–19°C, underscoring the slightly cooler-than-average pattern captured in the current odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Цзинане 4 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Цзинане 4 сентября?
13°C 94%
12°C или ниже 29%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
29%
13°C
85%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
13°C 94%
12°C или ниже 29%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$321 Объем
29%
13°C
$1,609 Объем
85%
14°C
$189 Объем
1%
15°C
$322 Объем
<1%
16°C
$35 Объем
1%
17°C
$227 Объем
1%
18°C
$35 Объем
1%
19°C
$45 Объем
<1%
20°C
$45 Объем
<1%
21°C
$45 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$45 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan tonight, enabling strong radiative cooling under dry autumn conditions and positioning a minimum near 13°C as the dominant outcome.**
This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (84.5% implied probability), while the 14.5% on 12°C or below reflects residual model spread and uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Current observations show daytime highs around 29–32°C with low humidity (around 40%), consistent with seasonal norms but favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Upcoming official station readings from Jinan’s meteorological network will resolve the market, with traders incorporating the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing limited cloud cover and minimal wind to sustain the cool minimum. Historical September lows average near 16–19°C, underscoring the slightly cooler-than-average pattern captured in the current odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$2,918Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan tonight, enabling strong radiative cooling under dry autumn conditions and positioning a minimum near 13°C as the dominant outcome.**
This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (84.5% implied probability), while the 14.5% on 12°C or below reflects residual model spread and uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Current observations show daytime highs around 29–32°C with low humidity (around 40%), consistent with seasonal norms but favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Upcoming official station readings from Jinan’s meteorological network will resolve the market, with traders incorporating the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing limited cloud cover and minimal wind to sustain the cool minimum. Historical September lows average near 16–19°C, underscoring the slightly cooler-than-average pattern captured in the current odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,918Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan tonight, enabling strong radiative cooling under dry autumn conditions and positioning a minimum near 13°C as the dominant outcome.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (84.5% implied probability), while the 14.5% on 12°C or below reflects residual model spread and uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Current observations show daytime highs around 29–32°C with low humidity (around 40%), consistent with seasonal norms but favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Upcoming official station readings from Jinan’s meteorological network will resolve the market, with traders incorporating the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing limited cloud cover and minimal wind to sustain the cool minimum. Historical September lows average near 16–19°C, underscoring the slightly cooler-than-average pattern captured in the current odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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