Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight minimum of 17–18 °C for London on September 14 under southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (54.5 %) and 19 °C (32.5 %), as above-average warmth persists following a warm September pattern. Limited model spread and the absence of a strong cold front keep 17 °C at only 12 %, while probabilities for 16 °C or lower remain negligible given the current steering pattern and expected wind speeds. Updated guidance overnight or early on the 14th could refine the exact low if clearer breaks develop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 14 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 14 сентября?
18°C 55%
19°C 35%
17°C 10%
16°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
10%
18°C
55%
19°C
35%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
18°C 55%
19°C 35%
17°C 10%
16°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$153 Объем
<1%
13°C
$121 Объем
<1%
14°C
$20 Объем
<1%
15°C
$111 Объем
2%
16°C
$236 Объем
5%
17°C
$3,152 Объем
10%
18°C
$997 Объем
55%
19°C
$1,029 Объем
35%
20°C
$70 Объем
1%
21°C
$43 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$60 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight minimum of 17–18 °C for London on September 14 under southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (54.5 %) and 19 °C (32.5 %), as above-average warmth persists following a warm September pattern. Limited model spread and the absence of a strong cold front keep 17 °C at only 12 %, while probabilities for 16 °C or lower remain negligible given the current steering pattern and expected wind speeds. Updated guidance overnight or early on the 14th could refine the exact low if clearer breaks develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$5,991Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight minimum of 17–18 °C for London on September 14 under southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (54.5 %) and 19 °C (32.5 %), as above-average warmth persists following a warm September pattern. Limited model spread and the absence of a strong cold front keep 17 °C at only 12 %, while probabilities for 16 °C or lower remain negligible given the current steering pattern and expected wind speeds. Updated guidance overnight or early on the 14th could refine the exact low if clearer breaks develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,991Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a mild overnight minimum of 17–18 °C for London on September 14 under southwesterly flow and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (54.5 %) and 19 °C (32.5 %), as above-average warmth persists following a warm September pattern. Limited model spread and the absence of a strong cold front keep 17 °C at only 12 %, while probabilities for 16 °C or lower remain negligible given the current steering pattern and expected wind speeds. Updated guidance overnight or early on the 14th could refine the exact low if clearer breaks develop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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