Recent model consensus from sources including Météo-France-aligned forecasts and GFS runs points to a minimum of 13°C in Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and clear overnight conditions that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–24°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and explains the market's 96% implied probability on 13°C. A shift to thicker cloud cover or stronger winds could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, while unexpectedly clear, calm conditions might allow a dip toward 12°C or lower, though current observations show limited divergence among models.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 20 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 20 сентября?
13°C 96%
12°C 53%
11°C 3%
10°C или ниже 2%
$15,764 Объем
$15,764 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
53%
13°C
96%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
13°C 96%
12°C 53%
11°C 3%
10°C или ниже 2%
$15,764 Объем
$15,764 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$16 Объем
2%
11°C
$66 Объем
3%
12°C
$243 Объем
53%
13°C
$2,197 Объем
96%
14°C
$10,347 Объем
<1%
15°C
$3,057 Объем
<1%
16°C
$246 Объем
<1%
17°C
$31 Объем
<1%
18°C
$41 Объем
<1%
19°C
$41 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$41 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Météo-France-aligned forecasts and GFS runs points to a minimum of 13°C in Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and clear overnight conditions that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–24°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and explains the market's 96% implied probability on 13°C. A shift to thicker cloud cover or stronger winds could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, while unexpectedly clear, calm conditions might allow a dip toward 12°C or lower, though current observations show limited divergence among models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$15,764Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Météo-France-aligned forecasts and GFS runs points to a minimum of 13°C in Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and clear overnight conditions that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–24°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and explains the market's 96% implied probability on 13°C. A shift to thicker cloud cover or stronger winds could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, while unexpectedly clear, calm conditions might allow a dip toward 12°C or lower, though current observations show limited divergence among models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,764Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including Météo-France-aligned forecasts and GFS runs points to a minimum of 13°C in Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and clear overnight conditions that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–24°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and explains the market's 96% implied probability on 13°C. A shift to thicker cloud cover or stronger winds could raise the minimum by limiting heat loss, while unexpectedly clear, calm conditions might allow a dip toward 12°C or lower, though current observations show limited divergence among models.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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