Recent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Paris on September 22 under high pressure with northeasterly flow and mostly clear skies, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limiting deeper chill. Market odds cluster tightly around 7–11°C because ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture, light wind variations, and any residual cloud cover could shift the low by 2–3°C, with stronger radiative losses favoring the lower tail. Historical September minima average near 11°C, and current conditions align with typical late-summer anticyclonic setups rather than anomalous cold advection. Fresh ECMWF and Météo-France runs over the next 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 22 сентября?
7°C или ниже 56%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
8°C 37%
7°C или ниже
56%
8°C
37%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
26%
12°C
36%
13°C
26%
14°C
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C или выше
2%
7°C или ниже 56%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
8°C 37%
7°C или ниже
56%
8°C
37%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
26%
12°C
36%
13°C
26%
14°C
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Paris on September 22 under high pressure with northeasterly flow and mostly clear skies, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limiting deeper chill. Market odds cluster tightly around 7–11°C because ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture, light wind variations, and any residual cloud cover could shift the low by 2–3°C, with stronger radiative losses favoring the lower tail. Historical September minima average near 11°C, and current conditions align with typical late-summer anticyclonic setups rather than anomalous cold advection. Fresh ECMWF and Météo-France runs over the next 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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