Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen show overnight minimum temperatures clustered near 25–26°C on September 19, with limited spread arising from variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–85%, and light easterly winds that moderate radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers indicates mostly dry conditions or brief showers, keeping the daily low well above the 21°C threshold while daytime highs approach 32–33°C. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes captures genuine uncertainty in ensemble guidance, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any cloud breaks could alter the minimum by 2–4°C. Updated model outputs and surface observations through September 18 will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 19 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 19 сентября?
21°C или ниже 100%
31°C или выше 93%
25°C 48%
22°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
100%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
48%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
8%
30°C
40%
31°C или выше
93%
21°C или ниже 100%
31°C или выше 93%
25°C 48%
22°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
22°C
$0 Объем
40%
23°C
$0 Объем
40%
24°C
$0 Объем
40%
25°C
$49 Объем
48%
26°C
$0 Объем
40%
27°C
$0 Объем
40%
28°C
$0 Объем
40%
29°C
$0 Объем
8%
30°C
$0 Объем
40%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen show overnight minimum temperatures clustered near 25–26°C on September 19, with limited spread arising from variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–85%, and light easterly winds that moderate radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers indicates mostly dry conditions or brief showers, keeping the daily low well above the 21°C threshold while daytime highs approach 32–33°C. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes captures genuine uncertainty in ensemble guidance, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any cloud breaks could alter the minimum by 2–4°C. Updated model outputs and surface observations through September 18 will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$49Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen show overnight minimum temperatures clustered near 25–26°C on September 19, with limited spread arising from variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–85%, and light easterly winds that moderate radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers indicates mostly dry conditions or brief showers, keeping the daily low well above the 21°C threshold while daytime highs approach 32–33°C. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes captures genuine uncertainty in ensemble guidance, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any cloud breaks could alter the minimum by 2–4°C. Updated model outputs and surface observations through September 18 will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$49Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Shenzhen show overnight minimum temperatures clustered near 25–26°C on September 19, with limited spread arising from variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–85%, and light easterly winds that moderate radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers indicates mostly dry conditions or brief showers, keeping the daily low well above the 21°C threshold while daytime highs approach 32–33°C. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes captures genuine uncertainty in ensemble guidance, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any cloud breaks could alter the minimum by 2–4°C. Updated model outputs and surface observations through September 18 will provide the next resolution-relevant data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы