Recent forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei on September 6 will likely settle near 23–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity from tropical moisture. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above typical clear-night baselines for early September. Trader consensus favoring 25°C at 49% implied probability reflects alignment across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance showing stable steering patterns and no rapid intensification or clear-sky episodes that could push readings lower. Shifts in the next model cycles or unexpected wind changes remain the main variables that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тайбэе 6 сентября?
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
20°C или ниже
34%
21°C
47%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
49%
26°C
28%
27°C
48%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
34%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
20°C или ниже
34%
21°C
47%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
49%
26°C
28%
27°C
48%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Taipei on September 6 will likely settle near 23–25°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity from tropical moisture. These conditions limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above typical clear-night baselines for early September. Trader consensus favoring 25°C at 49% implied probability reflects alignment across GFS, ECMWF, and regional guidance showing stable steering patterns and no rapid intensification or clear-sky episodes that could push readings lower. Shifts in the next model cycles or unexpected wind changes remain the main variables that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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