Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on June 18 will likely settle near 20–21°C amid the ongoing East Asian rainy season, with extensive cloud cover, light showers, and moderate southerly flow limiting radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal range and keep lows above seasonal normals slightly, while any breaks in cloud or lighter winds could allow a dip toward 19°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited model spread, explaining the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes; resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 18 июня?
21°C 43%
20°C 39%
19°C 11.0%
22°C 7%
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
39%
21°C
43%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 39%
19°C 11.0%
22°C 7%
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
39%
21°C
43%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on June 18 will likely settle near 20–21°C amid the ongoing East Asian rainy season, with extensive cloud cover, light showers, and moderate southerly flow limiting radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical diurnal range and keep lows above seasonal normals slightly, while any breaks in cloud or lighter winds could allow a dip toward 19°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited model spread, explaining the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes; resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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