Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Wuhan’s daily minimum on August 25 will fall near 28 °C under mostly clear skies and easterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 35–38 °C amid typical late-summer subsidence over the Yangtze basin. Recent typhoon activity (including systems in the South China Sea and East China Sea) and today’s strong-convection warnings have introduced moisture that may slightly elevate overnight humidity and radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping below ~27 °C while limiting further warming. Trader balance between the 33 °C+ and 23 °C-or-below outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban-heat effects, with new model runs and local observations expected to tighten the distribution before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 25 августа?
33°C or higher 78%
32°C 39%
23°C or below 38%
28°C 28%
23°C or below
38%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
22%
30°C
20%
31°C
1%
32°C
39%
33°C or higher
78%
33°C or higher 78%
32°C 39%
23°C or below 38%
28°C 28%
23°C or below
38%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
22%
30°C
20%
31°C
1%
32°C
39%
33°C or higher
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Wuhan’s daily minimum on August 25 will fall near 28 °C under mostly clear skies and easterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 35–38 °C amid typical late-summer subsidence over the Yangtze basin. Recent typhoon activity (including systems in the South China Sea and East China Sea) and today’s strong-convection warnings have introduced moisture that may slightly elevate overnight humidity and radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping below ~27 °C while limiting further warming. Trader balance between the 33 °C+ and 23 °C-or-below outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban-heat effects, with new model runs and local observations expected to tighten the distribution before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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