Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding position in recent polls drives the 95.9% trader consensus for a Democrat victory in the November 3 general election, with her leading top Republican primary contenders Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Mike Minogue by 20+ points in an April University of New Hampshire survey (53-32%, 51-29%, 52-32%). Massachusetts' deep blue partisan lean, where Democrats reclaimed the governorship in 2022 after two Republican terms under Charlie Baker, bolsters her incumbency advantage ahead of the September 1 Democratic primary—likely uncontested—and September 15 Republican primary. A fresh poll showing Healey's approval dipping to 39% amid housing and cost-of-living concerns has not dented her leads. Realistic challenges include a scandal, health issue, or unexpectedly strong GOP nominee consolidation, though historical precedents in similar states favor the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Массачусетса
Победитель выборов губернатора Массачусетса
$25,272 Объем
$25,272 Объем

Демократ
96%

Республиканец
5%
$25,272 Объем
$25,272 Объем

Демократ
96%

Республиканец
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding position in recent polls drives the 95.9% trader consensus for a Democrat victory in the November 3 general election, with her leading top Republican primary contenders Mike Kennealy, Brian Shortsleeve, and Mike Minogue by 20+ points in an April University of New Hampshire survey (53-32%, 51-29%, 52-32%). Massachusetts' deep blue partisan lean, where Democrats reclaimed the governorship in 2022 after two Republican terms under Charlie Baker, bolsters her incumbency advantage ahead of the September 1 Democratic primary—likely uncontested—and September 15 Republican primary. A fresh poll showing Healey's approval dipping to 39% amid housing and cost-of-living concerns has not dented her leads. Realistic challenges include a scandal, health issue, or unexpectedly strong GOP nominee consolidation, though historical precedents in similar states favor the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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