Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, clearing the path for a third term against Republican nominee Ryan Fazio. Lamont's commanding position in the general election stems from consistent polling leads of 13–35 points, approval ratings near 63 percent, and Connecticut's established Democratic lean in statewide contests. Traders' 96 percent implied probability for a Democratic win reflects these fundamentals plus the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp economic reversal, or unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the state suggest such reversals would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Коннектикута
Победитель выборов губернатора Коннектикута
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
97%
Республиканец
2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$5,517 Объем
97%
Республиканец
$3,737 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, clearing the path for a third term against Republican nominee Ryan Fazio. Lamont's commanding position in the general election stems from consistent polling leads of 13–35 points, approval ratings near 63 percent, and Connecticut's established Democratic lean in statewide contests. Traders' 96 percent implied probability for a Democratic win reflects these fundamentals plus the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp economic reversal, or unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the state suggest such reversals would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$9,255Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, clearing the path for a third term against Republican nominee Ryan Fazio. Lamont's commanding position in the general election stems from consistent polling leads of 13–35 points, approval ratings near 63 percent, and Connecticut's established Democratic lean in statewide contests. Traders' 96 percent implied probability for a Democratic win reflects these fundamentals plus the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp economic reversal, or unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the state suggest such reversals would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$9,255Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, clearing the path for a third term against Republican nominee Ryan Fazio. Lamont's commanding position in the general election stems from consistent polling leads of 13–35 points, approval ratings near 63 percent, and Connecticut's established Democratic lean in statewide contests. Traders' 96 percent implied probability for a Democratic win reflects these fundamentals plus the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp economic reversal, or unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the state suggest such reversals would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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