Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position heading into the September 8 primaries for the November 2026 general election, reflected in traders' heavy weighting toward a Republican victory. Her established record from the prior term, combined with New Hampshire's recent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates in statewide races, has consolidated support within the party. On the Democratic side, primary contenders such as Cinde Warmington have yet to generate comparable momentum or polling leads that would shift broader expectations. With limited major developments in the past month beyond routine campaign filings and early positioning, the current implied probabilities align with standard incumbent advantages in this competitive but Republican-leaning state environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Нью-Гэмпшира
Победитель выборов губернатора Нью-Гэмпшира
$16,343 Объем
$16,343 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
81%
Демократ
17%
$16,343 Объем
$16,343 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$7,417 Объем
81%
Демократ
$8,927 Объем
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position heading into the September 8 primaries for the November 2026 general election, reflected in traders' heavy weighting toward a Republican victory. Her established record from the prior term, combined with New Hampshire's recent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates in statewide races, has consolidated support within the party. On the Democratic side, primary contenders such as Cinde Warmington have yet to generate comparable momentum or polling leads that would shift broader expectations. With limited major developments in the past month beyond routine campaign filings and early positioning, the current implied probabilities align with standard incumbent advantages in this competitive but Republican-leaning state environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Объем
$16,343Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position heading into the September 8 primaries for the November 2026 general election, reflected in traders' heavy weighting toward a Republican victory. Her established record from the prior term, combined with New Hampshire's recent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates in statewide races, has consolidated support within the party. On the Democratic side, primary contenders such as Cinde Warmington have yet to generate comparable momentum or polling leads that would shift broader expectations. With limited major developments in the past month beyond routine campaign filings and early positioning, the current implied probabilities align with standard incumbent advantages in this competitive but Republican-leaning state environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$16,343Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position heading into the September 8 primaries for the November 2026 general election, reflected in traders' heavy weighting toward a Republican victory. Her established record from the prior term, combined with New Hampshire's recent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates in statewide races, has consolidated support within the party. On the Democratic side, primary contenders such as Cinde Warmington have yet to generate comparable momentum or polling leads that would shift broader expectations. With limited major developments in the past month beyond routine campaign filings and early positioning, the current implied probabilities align with standard incumbent advantages in this competitive but Republican-leaning state environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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