Since his March 2026 appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death amid US-Israel strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearance—defined as authentic photographs or video released within the timeframe, including live broadcasts—over 70 days later, fueling trader skepticism reflected in just 6% implied probability for May 31. Ongoing Israel-Iran proxy escalations and security concerns, cited by a Russian envoy on March 31, sustain his seclusion, alongside debunked AI-generated images and unconfirmed injury reports from airstrikes. Iranian President Pezeshkian's May 7 disclosure of a private two-and-a-half-hour meeting and the Foreign Minister's May 14 assurance of his health hint at a potential emergence, though regime directives remain text-based amid diplomatic pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПубличное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?
Публичное выступление Мойтабы Хаменеи...?
$1,572,153 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
31 мая
6%
$1,572,153 Объем
31 мая
$343,366 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since his March 2026 appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death amid US-Israel strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearance—defined as authentic photographs or video released within the timeframe, including live broadcasts—over 70 days later, fueling trader skepticism reflected in just 6% implied probability for May 31. Ongoing Israel-Iran proxy escalations and security concerns, cited by a Russian envoy on March 31, sustain his seclusion, alongside debunked AI-generated images and unconfirmed injury reports from airstrikes. Iranian President Pezeshkian's May 7 disclosure of a private two-and-a-half-hour meeting and the Foreign Minister's May 14 assurance of his health hint at a potential emergence, though regime directives remain text-based amid diplomatic pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Объем
$1,572,153Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since his March 2026 appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death amid US-Israel strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearance—defined as authentic photographs or video released within the timeframe, including live broadcasts—over 70 days later, fueling trader skepticism reflected in just 6% implied probability for May 31. Ongoing Israel-Iran proxy escalations and security concerns, cited by a Russian envoy on March 31, sustain his seclusion, alongside debunked AI-generated images and unconfirmed injury reports from airstrikes. Iranian President Pezeshkian's May 7 disclosure of a private two-and-a-half-hour meeting and the Foreign Minister's May 14 assurance of his health hint at a potential emergence, though regime directives remain text-based amid diplomatic pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Объем
$1,572,153Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Since his March 2026 appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death amid US-Israel strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearance—defined as authentic photographs or video released within the timeframe, including live broadcasts—over 70 days later, fueling trader skepticism reflected in just 6% implied probability for May 31. Ongoing Israel-Iran proxy escalations and security concerns, cited by a Russian envoy on March 31, sustain his seclusion, alongside debunked AI-generated images and unconfirmed injury reports from airstrikes. Iranian President Pezeshkian's May 7 disclosure of a private two-and-a-half-hour meeting and the Foreign Minister's May 14 assurance of his health hint at a potential emergence, though regime directives remain text-based amid diplomatic pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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