The National Hurricane Center's first Tropical Weather Outlook of May 15, 2026, confirms no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin and no areas of development potential over the next seven days, driving trader consensus to an 79.4% implied probability of no named storm before the June 1 season start. Current conditions feature quiescent tropical waves with near-zero formation chances amid building El Niño patterns expected to increase wind shear and suppress activity, despite above-average sea surface temperatures in parts of the western Atlantic and Gulf. Climatologically, the first named storm—requiring sustained winds over 39 mph—forms around June 20, with pre-season events rare. Daily NHC outlooks will provide key updates as the resolution window narrows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНазванные штормовые формы перед сезоном ураганов?
Названные штормовые формы перед сезоном ураганов?
Да
$341,208 Объем
$341,208 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Да
$341,208 Объем
$341,208 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's first Tropical Weather Outlook of May 15, 2026, confirms no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin and no areas of development potential over the next seven days, driving trader consensus to an 79.4% implied probability of no named storm before the June 1 season start. Current conditions feature quiescent tropical waves with near-zero formation chances amid building El Niño patterns expected to increase wind shear and suppress activity, despite above-average sea surface temperatures in parts of the western Atlantic and Gulf. Climatologically, the first named storm—requiring sustained winds over 39 mph—forms around June 20, with pre-season events rare. Daily NHC outlooks will provide key updates as the resolution window narrows.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Объем
$341,208Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's first Tropical Weather Outlook of May 15, 2026, confirms no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin and no areas of development potential over the next seven days, driving trader consensus to an 79.4% implied probability of no named storm before the June 1 season start. Current conditions feature quiescent tropical waves with near-zero formation chances amid building El Niño patterns expected to increase wind shear and suppress activity, despite above-average sea surface temperatures in parts of the western Atlantic and Gulf. Climatologically, the first named storm—requiring sustained winds over 39 mph—forms around June 20, with pre-season events rare. Daily NHC outlooks will provide key updates as the resolution window narrows.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Объем
$341,208Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The National Hurricane Center's first Tropical Weather Outlook of May 15, 2026, confirms no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin and no areas of development potential over the next seven days, driving trader consensus to an 79.4% implied probability of no named storm before the June 1 season start. Current conditions feature quiescent tropical waves with near-zero formation chances amid building El Niño patterns expected to increase wind shear and suppress activity, despite above-average sea surface temperatures in parts of the western Atlantic and Gulf. Climatologically, the first named storm—requiring sustained winds over 39 mph—forms around June 20, with pre-season events rare. Daily NHC outlooks will provide key updates as the resolution window narrows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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