New Mexico's open gubernatorial seat features Democratic nominee Deb Haaland facing Republican Gregg Hull in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Democrat a 90.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent partisan lean, Haaland's strong primary performance and national profile as former Interior secretary, and historical Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Recent polling shows variability, with one Republican-commissioned survey indicating a statistical tie, yet the broader context of voter registration advantages and limited GOP breakthroughs sustains the market gap. Key factors that could narrow the odds include shifts in energy policy sentiment tied to the oil and gas sector, turnout differentials in key counties, or unexpected national political tailwinds for Republicans before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Нью-Мексико
Победитель выборов губернатора Нью-Мексико
$23,008 Объем
$23,008 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
91%
Республиканцы
9%
$23,008 Объем
$23,008 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$16,559 Объем
91%
Республиканцы
$6,449 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Mexico's open gubernatorial seat features Democratic nominee Deb Haaland facing Republican Gregg Hull in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Democrat a 90.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent partisan lean, Haaland's strong primary performance and national profile as former Interior secretary, and historical Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Recent polling shows variability, with one Republican-commissioned survey indicating a statistical tie, yet the broader context of voter registration advantages and limited GOP breakthroughs sustains the market gap. Key factors that could narrow the odds include shifts in energy policy sentiment tied to the oil and gas sector, turnout differentials in key counties, or unexpected national political tailwinds for Republicans before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Объем
$23,008Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Mexico's open gubernatorial seat features Democratic nominee Deb Haaland facing Republican Gregg Hull in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Democrat a 90.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent partisan lean, Haaland's strong primary performance and national profile as former Interior secretary, and historical Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Recent polling shows variability, with one Republican-commissioned survey indicating a statistical tie, yet the broader context of voter registration advantages and limited GOP breakthroughs sustains the market gap. Key factors that could narrow the odds include shifts in energy policy sentiment tied to the oil and gas sector, turnout differentials in key counties, or unexpected national political tailwinds for Republicans before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$23,008Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Mexico's open gubernatorial seat features Democratic nominee Deb Haaland facing Republican Gregg Hull in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Democrat a 90.5% implied probability due to the state's consistent partisan lean, Haaland's strong primary performance and national profile as former Interior secretary, and historical Democratic dominance in statewide contests. Recent polling shows variability, with one Republican-commissioned survey indicating a statistical tie, yet the broader context of voter registration advantages and limited GOP breakthroughs sustains the market gap. Key factors that could narrow the odds include shifts in energy policy sentiment tied to the oil and gas sector, turnout differentials in key counties, or unexpected national political tailwinds for Republicans before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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