Skip to main content
icon for Next First Minister of Scotland?
Выборы·Великобритания

Next First Minister of Scotland?

icon for Next First Minister of Scotland?
Выборы·Великобритания

Next First Minister of Scotland?

John Swinney 99.6%

Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%

Malcolm Offord <1%

Russell Findlay <1%

Polymarket

$11,060 Объем

John Swinney 99.6%

Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%

Malcolm Offord <1%

Russell Findlay <1%

Polymarket

$11,060 Объем

icon for John Swinney

John Swinney

$3,218 Объем

100%

icon for Alex Cole-Hamilton

Alex Cole-Hamilton

$1,346 Объем

1%

icon for Malcolm Offord

Malcolm Offord

$912 Объем

1%

icon for Russell Findlay

Russell Findlay

$2,554 Объем

1%

icon for Anas Sarwar

Anas Sarwar

$1,945 Объем

<1%

icon for Ross Greer

Ross Greer

$515 Объем

<1%

icon for Gillian Mackay

Gillian Mackay

$570 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the May 2026 Scottish Parliament election, in which the SNP secured the largest share of seats though short of a majority, John Swinney as party leader holds a near-certain position for re-nomination as First Minister. Incumbency since 2024, combined with the absence of any internal SNP leadership contest, has reinforced trader consensus around his continued tenure. Parliament is expected to vote on his appointment in the coming days, with negotiations focused on securing support from other parties excluding Reform UK. Potential challenges remain limited but could arise from a sudden loss of confidence vote, unexpected coalition arrangements among opposition parties, or an unforeseen resignation tied to policy setbacks or internal pressures.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$11,060
Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the May 2026 Scottish Parliament election, in which the SNP secured the largest share of seats though short of a majority, John Swinney as party leader holds a near-certain position for re-nomination as First Minister. Incumbency since 2024, combined with the absence of any internal SNP leadership contest, has reinforced trader consensus around his continued tenure. Parliament is expected to vote on his appointment in the coming days, with negotiations focused on securing support from other parties excluding Reform UK. Potential challenges remain limited but could arise from a sudden loss of confidence vote, unexpected coalition arrangements among opposition parties, or an unforeseen resignation tied to policy setbacks or internal pressures.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$11,060
Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next First Minister of Scotland?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «John Swinney» с 100%, за ним следует «Alex Cole-Hamilton» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next First Minister of Scotland?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11.1K с момента запуска рынка Apr 23, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next First Minister of Scotland?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next First Minister of Scotland?» — «John Swinney» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Alex Cole-Hamilton» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next First Minister of Scotland?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.