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Выборы·Глобальные выборы

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Выборы·Глобальные выборы

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 12.1%

Éric Duhaime 1.1%

Polymarket

$27,087 Объем

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 12.1%

Éric Duhaime 1.1%

Polymarket

$27,087 Объем

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$5,848 Объем

65%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,847 Объем

23%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,267 Объем

12%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,162 Объем

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,795 Объем

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,789 Объем

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,379 Объем

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends position Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's October 2026 general election, with his party holding steady or slight leads over the Liberals in francophone ridings that favor majority seat projections in the National Assembly. Plamondon's consistent byelection wins and emphasis on sovereignty without immediate referendum triggers have sustained trader confidence at the current 64.5% implied probability. Charles Milliard has revived Liberal support since his February acclamation, closing gaps in urban and anglophone areas to reflect the 22.0% market share. Christine Fréchette's April ascension as CAQ premier following François Legault's January resignation has not reversed the party's sharp decline in overall support, capping her odds at 12.2%. Éric Duhaime and other minor candidates remain marginal amid the two-party contest dynamic ahead of the fixed election date.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$27,087
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends position Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's October 2026 general election, with his party holding steady or slight leads over the Liberals in francophone ridings that favor majority seat projections in the National Assembly. Plamondon's consistent byelection wins and emphasis on sovereignty without immediate referendum triggers have sustained trader confidence at the current 64.5% implied probability. Charles Milliard has revived Liberal support since his February acclamation, closing gaps in urban and anglophone areas to reflect the 22.0% market share. Christine Fréchette's April ascension as CAQ premier following François Legault's January resignation has not reversed the party's sharp decline in overall support, capping her odds at 12.2%. Éric Duhaime and other minor candidates remain marginal amid the two-party contest dynamic ahead of the fixed election date.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$27,087
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next Premier of Quebec» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Paul St-Pierre Plamondon» с 65%, за ним следует «Charles Milliard» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 65¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Premier of Quebec» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $27.1K с момента запуска рынка May 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Premier of Quebec», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Premier of Quebec» — «Paul St-Pierre Plamondon» с 65%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Charles Milliard» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Premier of Quebec» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.