Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market after none of the five specified triggers materialized by March 31—no fall of the Iranian regime amid regional tensions, no Federal Reserve rate cut as the FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75%, no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no invocation of the Insurrection Act, and no signing of the SAVE Act despite House passage and Senate resistance. The sole outstanding condition hinges on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger AG Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated; a May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely voters, tilting odds toward Paxton prevailing and preserving "Nothing," as early voting starts May 18.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНичего
$340,193 Объем
$340,193 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
Ничего
$340,193 Объем
$340,193 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market after none of the five specified triggers materialized by March 31—no fall of the Iranian regime amid regional tensions, no Federal Reserve rate cut as the FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75%, no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no invocation of the Insurrection Act, and no signing of the SAVE Act despite House passage and Senate resistance. The sole outstanding condition hinges on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger AG Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated; a May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely voters, tilting odds toward Paxton prevailing and preserving "Nothing," as early voting starts May 18.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Объем
$340,193Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market after none of the five specified triggers materialized by March 31—no fall of the Iranian regime amid regional tensions, no Federal Reserve rate cut as the FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75%, no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no invocation of the Insurrection Act, and no signing of the SAVE Act despite House passage and Senate resistance. The sole outstanding condition hinges on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger AG Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated; a May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely voters, tilting odds toward Paxton prevailing and preserving "Nothing," as early voting starts May 18.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Объем
$340,193Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market after none of the five specified triggers materialized by March 31—no fall of the Iranian regime amid regional tensions, no Federal Reserve rate cut as the FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75%, no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no invocation of the Insurrection Act, and no signing of the SAVE Act despite House passage and Senate resistance. The sole outstanding condition hinges on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger AG Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated; a May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely voters, tilting odds toward Paxton prevailing and preserving "Nothing," as early voting starts May 18.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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