Incumbent Adriano Espaillat holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 13th congressional district, reflecting his long tenure representing Upper Manhattan and the Bronx since 2017 along with recent endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC and established labor groups. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the leading challenger and a DSA-backed organizer, has drawn attention through pro-Palestine activism and an April internal poll showing softer support for the incumbent, yet she trails amid Espaillat’s fundraising edge and name recognition. Minor candidates including Oscar Romero remain marginal. Ongoing petition signature disputes and progressive coalition dynamics could influence final turnout, though Espaillat’s institutional advantages continue to anchor current probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАдриано Эспайят 71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье 30%
Оскар Ромеро 1.6%
Тео Чино-Таварес <1%
$22,817 Объем
$22,817 Объем
Адриано Эспайят
71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье
30%
Оскар Ромеро
2%
Тео Чино-Таварес
<1%
Меган Родригес
<1%
Джалил Амадор
<1%
Джеймс Фелтон Кит
<1%
Мэтт Миллер
<1%
Адриано Эспайят 71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье 30%
Оскар Ромеро 1.6%
Тео Чино-Таварес <1%
$22,817 Объем
$22,817 Объем
Адриано Эспайят
71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье
30%
Оскар Ромеро
2%
Тео Чино-Таварес
<1%
Меган Родригес
<1%
Джалил Амадор
<1%
Джеймс Фелтон Кит
<1%
Мэтт Миллер
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Adriano Espaillat holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 13th congressional district, reflecting his long tenure representing Upper Manhattan and the Bronx since 2017 along with recent endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC and established labor groups. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the leading challenger and a DSA-backed organizer, has drawn attention through pro-Palestine activism and an April internal poll showing softer support for the incumbent, yet she trails amid Espaillat’s fundraising edge and name recognition. Minor candidates including Oscar Romero remain marginal. Ongoing petition signature disputes and progressive coalition dynamics could influence final turnout, though Espaillat’s institutional advantages continue to anchor current probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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