Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote against challengers including Michael Blake, demonstrating strong party support in New York’s 15th congressional district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic based on its consistent partisan lean, prior election margins exceeding 40 points, and Torres’s established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democratic candidates have historically dominated. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic shift in national conditions before Election Day could still alter the outcome in principle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-15
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-15
$46,269 Объем
$46,269 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
98%
Республиканская партия
1%
$46,269 Объем
$46,269 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$27,052 Объем
98%
Республиканская партия
$19,217 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote against challengers including Michael Blake, demonstrating strong party support in New York’s 15th congressional district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic based on its consistent partisan lean, prior election margins exceeding 40 points, and Torres’s established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democratic candidates have historically dominated. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic shift in national conditions before Election Day could still alter the outcome in principle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$46,269Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote against challengers including Michael Blake, demonstrating strong party support in New York’s 15th congressional district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic based on its consistent partisan lean, prior election margins exceeding 40 points, and Torres’s established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democratic candidates have historically dominated. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic shift in national conditions before Election Day could still alter the outcome in principle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$46,269Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote against challengers including Michael Blake, demonstrating strong party support in New York’s 15th congressional district. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic based on its consistent partisan lean, prior election margins exceeding 40 points, and Torres’s established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Democratic candidates have historically dominated. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic shift in national conditions before Election Day could still alter the outcome in principle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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