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20-39 98.4%

40-59 1.3%

60-79 <1%

140-159 <1%

Polymarket

$11,028 Объем

20-39 98.4%

40-59 1.3%

60-79 <1%

140-159 <1%

Polymarket

$11,028 Объем

<20

$3,274 Объем

<1%

20-39

$1,920 Объем

98%

40-59

$527 Объем

1%

60-79

$508 Объем

<1%

80-99

$571 Объем

<1%

100-119

$473 Объем

<1%

120-139

$766 Объем

<1%

140-159

$785 Объем

<1%

160-179

$766 Объем

<1%

180-199

$822 Объем

<1%

200+

$616 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The overwhelming trader consensus favoring 20-39 posts by NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani on X during the week stems from his documented posting pattern since taking office in January, which averages two to five updates daily across policy and administrative matters. Recent developments, including the May 12 executive budget release and subsequent housing reform announcements, align with this steady rhythm rather than triggering unusual volume. Historical data from his account supports expectations of consistent but not elevated activity absent major crises. A sustained focus on in-person events or an unforeseen high-stakes development could push totals outside this range, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$11,028
Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Предложенный исход: No

Окно спора

Окончательный

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The overwhelming trader consensus favoring 20-39 posts by NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani on X during the week stems from his documented posting pattern since taking office in January, which averages two to five updates daily across policy and administrative matters. Recent developments, including the May 12 executive budget release and subsequent housing reform announcements, align with this steady rhythm rather than triggering unusual volume. Historical data from his account supports expectations of consistent but not elevated activity absent major crises. A sustained focus on in-person events or an unforeseen high-stakes development could push totals outside this range, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$11,028
Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Предложенный исход: No

Окно спора

Окончательный

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-39» с 98%, за ним следует «40-59» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11K с момента запуска рынка May 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?» — «20-39» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «40-59» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.