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icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

мая 19

мая 22

мая 19

мая 22

20-39 88.7%

40–59 27.0%

<20 6.5%

140-159 4.3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

20-39 88.7%

40–59 27.0%

<20 6.5%

140-159 4.3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<20

$105 Объем

7%

20-39

$187 Объем

89%

40–59

$236 Объем

27%

60-79

$190 Объем

3%

80-99

$220 Объем

3%

100-119

$216 Объем

1%

120-139

$194 Объем

3%

140-159

$231 Объем

4%

160-179

$337 Объем

<1%

180-199

$447 Объем

<1%

200+

$894 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established daily posting rhythm of three to five updates on the official @NYCMayor account on X forms the primary driver behind the market’s decisive tilt toward the 20-39 range. Since assuming office on January 1, 2026, the mayor has sustained this cadence through routine policy communications, including the May 12 executive budget presentation, ongoing housing initiatives, inflation measures, and the May 14 statement addressing the Washington Square Park incident. No major crises, travel demands, or strategic changes have altered this pattern in the current week, reinforcing trader assessments that weekly totals will remain aligned with historical norms. The 82.5 percent consensus reflects this predictable City Hall communication flow rather than any exceptional surge or lull.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$3,256
Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established daily posting rhythm of three to five updates on the official @NYCMayor account on X forms the primary driver behind the market’s decisive tilt toward the 20-39 range. Since assuming office on January 1, 2026, the mayor has sustained this cadence through routine policy communications, including the May 12 executive budget presentation, ongoing housing initiatives, inflation measures, and the May 14 statement addressing the Washington Square Park incident. No major crises, travel demands, or strategic changes have altered this pattern in the current week, reinforcing trader assessments that weekly totals will remain aligned with historical norms. The 82.5 percent consensus reflects this predictable City Hall communication flow rather than any exceptional surge or lull.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$3,256
Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-39» с 89%, за ним следует «40–59» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 89¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 12, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?» — «20-39» с 89%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Следующий ближайший исход — «40–59» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Мэр Нью-Йорка # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.