The narrowing gap between the ruling Democratic Party of Korea and the main opposition People Power Party in recent national polls has shaped trader expectations for the June 3 parliamentary by-elections held alongside nationwide local contests. With 14 seats contested, the PPP's candidate selections in seven districts, including competitive races in traditional strongholds such as Busan and Daegu, support the current leading probability around three seats. Internal party dynamics, voter turnout patterns in conservative areas, and the absence of major last-minute scandals or endorsements continue to anchor market positioning near this range while leaving room for adjustments based on final-week campaigning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКоличество мест, выигранных ПГЧС на дополнительных выборах в Южной Корее?
3 49%
2 31%
1 8.8%
4 8.2%
$37,399 Объем
$37,399 Объем
0
5%
1
9%
2
31%
3
49%
4
8%
5
2%
6+
<1%
3 49%
2 31%
1 8.8%
4 8.2%
$37,399 Объем
$37,399 Объем
0
5%
1
9%
2
31%
3
49%
4
8%
5
2%
6+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The narrowing gap between the ruling Democratic Party of Korea and the main opposition People Power Party in recent national polls has shaped trader expectations for the June 3 parliamentary by-elections held alongside nationwide local contests. With 14 seats contested, the PPP's candidate selections in seven districts, including competitive races in traditional strongholds such as Busan and Daegu, support the current leading probability around three seats. Internal party dynamics, voter turnout patterns in conservative areas, and the absence of major last-minute scandals or endorsements continue to anchor market positioning near this range while leaving room for adjustments based on final-week campaigning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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