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Политика·Глобальные выборы

Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт

icon for Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт
Политика·Глобальные выборы

Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт

АдГ 94%

ХДС 5.8%

BSW <1%

Зелёные <1%

Polymarket

$703,067 Объем

АдГ 94%

ХДС 5.8%

BSW <1%

Зелёные <1%

Polymarket

$703,067 Объем

icon for АдГ

АдГ

$21,194 Объем

94%

icon for ХДС

ХДС

$469,754 Объем

6%

icon for BSW

BSW

$19,322 Объем

1%

icon for Зелёные

Зелёные

$35,840 Объем

1%

icon for СвДП

СвДП

$14,682 Объем

<1%

icon for Левая партия

Левая партия

$35,214 Объем

<1%

icon for СДПГ

СДПГ

$107,061 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from Infratest dimap and INSA shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) holding a record lead of around 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. This consistent advantage across multiple surveys has driven trader consensus toward the AfD as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Other parties including the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens remain near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their potential to fragment the vote share. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late surge by the CDU, higher turnout among smaller-party supporters, or any major campaign developments in the remaining months that alter eastern German voter preferences before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$703,067
Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from Infratest dimap and INSA shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) holding a record lead of around 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. This consistent advantage across multiple surveys has driven trader consensus toward the AfD as the clear frontrunner to finish first. Other parties including the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens remain near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their potential to fragment the vote share. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late surge by the CDU, higher turnout among smaller-party supporters, or any major campaign developments in the remaining months that alter eastern German voter preferences before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$703,067
Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «АдГ» с 94%, за ним следует «ХДС» с 6%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 94¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $703.1K с момента запуска рынка Feb 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт» — «АдГ» с 94%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Следующий ближайший исход — «ХДС» с 6%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.