State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate race in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner. Trader consensus favors a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting recent polls like the May 5 University of Houston survey showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48%-40% among likely GOP primary runoff voters ahead of the May 26 contest. Paxton's momentum from the March primary, despite Cornyn's fundraising edge ($9 million vs. $2.2 million in Q1), drives the tilt, while general election polling shows Talarico competitive in either scenario amid Texas' battleground dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМатч на выборах в Сенат Техаса
Матч на выборах в Сенат Техаса
Талрико и Пакстон 62%
Таларико и Корнин 39%
Крокетт и Пакстон <1%
Крокетт и Хант <1%
$721,379 Объем
$721,379 Объем
Талрико и Пакстон
62%
Таларико и Корнин
39%
Крокетт и Пакстон
<1%
Крокетт и Хант
<1%
Таларико и Хант
<1%
Крокетт и Корнин
<1%
Другие
<1%
Талрико и Пакстон 62%
Таларико и Корнин 39%
Крокетт и Пакстон <1%
Крокетт и Хант <1%
$721,379 Объем
$721,379 Объем
Талрико и Пакстон
62%
Таларико и Корнин
39%
Крокетт и Пакстон
<1%
Крокетт и Хант
<1%
Таларико и Хант
<1%
Крокетт и Корнин
<1%
Другие
<1%
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate race in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner. Trader consensus favors a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting recent polls like the May 5 University of Houston survey showing Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48%-40% among likely GOP primary runoff voters ahead of the May 26 contest. Paxton's momentum from the March primary, despite Cornyn's fundraising edge ($9 million vs. $2.2 million in Q1), drives the tilt, while general election polling shows Talarico competitive in either scenario amid Texas' battleground dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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