Trump’s cabinet and Vice President JD Vance have shown consistent loyalty, with no public indications of willingness to initiate Section 4 of the 25th Amendment declaring the president unable to discharge duties. Official medical reports from May 2026 describe Trump, then approaching age 80, as having excellent cardiac, pulmonary, neurological, and cognitive function, including a perfect score on standard screening, despite noted weight gain. Invocation requires the vice president plus a cabinet majority, followed by potential congressional override needing two-thirds majorities in both chambers if contested—thresholds unmet amid Republican congressional majorities and administration alignment. Sporadic opposition calls tied to April 2026 Iran-related rhetoric produced no traction. Realistic shifts before 2027 remain limited to an unforeseen acute health crisis or unprecedented internal rupture within the executive branch.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
4% вероятность
$49,857 Объем
$49,857 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
4% вероятность
$49,857 Объем
$49,857 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump’s cabinet and Vice President JD Vance have shown consistent loyalty, with no public indications of willingness to initiate Section 4 of the 25th Amendment declaring the president unable to discharge duties. Official medical reports from May 2026 describe Trump, then approaching age 80, as having excellent cardiac, pulmonary, neurological, and cognitive function, including a perfect score on standard screening, despite noted weight gain. Invocation requires the vice president plus a cabinet majority, followed by potential congressional override needing two-thirds majorities in both chambers if contested—thresholds unmet amid Republican congressional majorities and administration alignment. Sporadic opposition calls tied to April 2026 Iran-related rhetoric produced no traction. Realistic shifts before 2027 remain limited to an unforeseen acute health crisis or unprecedented internal rupture within the executive branch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$49,857Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump’s cabinet and Vice President JD Vance have shown consistent loyalty, with no public indications of willingness to initiate Section 4 of the 25th Amendment declaring the president unable to discharge duties. Official medical reports from May 2026 describe Trump, then approaching age 80, as having excellent cardiac, pulmonary, neurological, and cognitive function, including a perfect score on standard screening, despite noted weight gain. Invocation requires the vice president plus a cabinet majority, followed by potential congressional override needing two-thirds majorities in both chambers if contested—thresholds unmet amid Republican congressional majorities and administration alignment. Sporadic opposition calls tied to April 2026 Iran-related rhetoric produced no traction. Realistic shifts before 2027 remain limited to an unforeseen acute health crisis or unprecedented internal rupture within the executive branch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Объем
$49,857Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Trump’s cabinet and Vice President JD Vance have shown consistent loyalty, with no public indications of willingness to initiate Section 4 of the 25th Amendment declaring the president unable to discharge duties. Official medical reports from May 2026 describe Trump, then approaching age 80, as having excellent cardiac, pulmonary, neurological, and cognitive function, including a perfect score on standard screening, despite noted weight gain. Invocation requires the vice president plus a cabinet majority, followed by potential congressional override needing two-thirds majorities in both chambers if contested—thresholds unmet amid Republican congressional majorities and administration alignment. Sporadic opposition calls tied to April 2026 Iran-related rhetoric produced no traction. Realistic shifts before 2027 remain limited to an unforeseen acute health crisis or unprecedented internal rupture within the executive branch.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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