Trump's second term has featured repeated Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, particularly during the 2026 Iran conflict when his public statements prompted concerns over judgment and escalation. These efforts stalled due to the amendment's high procedural barriers, which require the vice president and a majority of the Cabinet to declare incapacity, followed by a two-thirds vote in both chambers of Congress if contested. Republican majorities and consistent support from Vice President JD Vance and the Cabinet have prevented any momentum. A recent impeachment resolution introduced in August 2026 further highlights partisan divides without advancing removal proceedings. Trader consensus reflects these structural and political obstacles, though a sudden documented health crisis or unprecedented Cabinet defection before January 2027 could still alter the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$49,857 Объем
$49,857 Объем
Да
$49,857 Объем
$49,857 Объем
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term has featured repeated Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, particularly during the 2026 Iran conflict when his public statements prompted concerns over judgment and escalation. These efforts stalled due to the amendment's high procedural barriers, which require the vice president and a majority of the Cabinet to declare incapacity, followed by a two-thirds vote in both chambers of Congress if contested. Republican majorities and consistent support from Vice President JD Vance and the Cabinet have prevented any momentum. A recent impeachment resolution introduced in August 2026 further highlights partisan divides without advancing removal proceedings. Trader consensus reflects these structural and political obstacles, though a sudden documented health crisis or unprecedented Cabinet defection before January 2027 could still alter the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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