President Donald Trump departed for Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of a scheduled summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, marking his first visit since returning to office and accompanied by tech executives like Elon Musk and Tim Cook. Recent public statements highlight agenda items including trade tariffs, AI export controls, Taiwan arms sales, nuclear proliferation, and U.S. requests for China's assistance in the Iran conflict. Delayed from March, the meeting underscores bilateral tensions and opportunities for de-escalation, with traders anticipating Trump's announcements by May 22 on potential deals or commitments that could shift U.S.-China relations, amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$14,184 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
Снижение тарифов
72%
Канал по безопасности ИИ между США и Китаем
47%
Освобождение задержанных американцев
30%
Совет по торговле между США и Китаем
50%
Приостановка продажи оружия Тайваню
9%
Ослабление экспортных ограничений на ИИ
53%
Новые санкции
4%
$14,184 Объем
Снижение тарифов
$6,646 Объем
72%
Канал по безопасности ИИ между США и Китаем
$151 Объем
47%
Освобождение задержанных американцев
$679 Объем
30%
Совет по торговле между США и Китаем
$724 Объем
50%
Приостановка продажи оружия Тайваню
$1,633 Объем
9%
Ослабление экспортных ограничений на ИИ
$2,685 Объем
53%
Новые санкции
$1,667 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President Donald Trump departed for Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of a scheduled summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, marking his first visit since returning to office and accompanied by tech executives like Elon Musk and Tim Cook. Recent public statements highlight agenda items including trade tariffs, AI export controls, Taiwan arms sales, nuclear proliferation, and U.S. requests for China's assistance in the Iran conflict. Delayed from March, the meeting underscores bilateral tensions and opportunities for de-escalation, with traders anticipating Trump's announcements by May 22 on potential deals or commitments that could shift U.S.-China relations, amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Объем
$14,184Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a halt, suspension, cancellation, or prohibition on any arms sales or military equipment transfers to Taiwan between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must specifically refer to the transfer of arms, weapons, munitions, military equipment, or substantially equivalent military goods from the United States to Taiwan. A qualifying announcement may apply to all such transfers to Taiwan or only to specified categories of arms, weapons or military equipment.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Halts, suspensions, cancellations, or prohibitions on arms sales or military equipment transfers announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any reduction, suspension, exemption, or other relief from U.S. export restrictions on artificial intelligence chips, advanced computing chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, or other AI-related technology exports to China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that US export restrictions on AI-related technologies will be suspended, reduced, exempted, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Reductions, suspensions, exemptions, or other relief from export restrictions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President Donald Trump departed for Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of a scheduled summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, marking his first visit since returning to office and accompanied by tech executives like Elon Musk and Tim Cook. Recent public statements highlight agenda items including trade tariffs, AI export controls, Taiwan arms sales, nuclear proliferation, and U.S. requests for China's assistance in the Iran conflict. Delayed from March, the meeting underscores bilateral tensions and opportunities for de-escalation, with traders anticipating Trump's announcements by May 22 on potential deals or commitments that could shift U.S.-China relations, amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$14,184Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump departed for Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of a scheduled summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, marking his first visit since returning to office and accompanied by tech executives like Elon Musk and Tim Cook. Recent public statements highlight agenda items including trade tariffs, AI export controls, Taiwan arms sales, nuclear proliferation, and U.S. requests for China's assistance in the Iran conflict. Delayed from March, the meeting underscores bilateral tensions and opportunities for de-escalation, with traders anticipating Trump's announcements by May 22 on potential deals or commitments that could shift U.S.-China relations, amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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