U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that no imminent military action against Cuba is planned despite President Trump's public threats and references to the island as "next" following tensions with Iran. Recent escalatory signals—including heightened U.S. intelligence flights near Cuban coasts, expanded sanctions on the regime, and Pentagon contingency planning—have prompted Cuban denunciations of aggression and calls for national defense preparations. However, Senate Republicans have cautioned against new conflicts in a midterm year, while administration sources emphasize that military options remain on the table without active mobilization or congressional authorization. These factors anchor trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 60 percent, reflecting limited evidence of imminent clash amid competing foreign policy priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВоенное столкновение США и Кубы в 2026 году?
Военное столкновение США и Кубы в 2026 году?
Да
$109,376 Объем
$109,376 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$109,376 Объем
$109,376 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that no imminent military action against Cuba is planned despite President Trump's public threats and references to the island as "next" following tensions with Iran. Recent escalatory signals—including heightened U.S. intelligence flights near Cuban coasts, expanded sanctions on the regime, and Pentagon contingency planning—have prompted Cuban denunciations of aggression and calls for national defense preparations. However, Senate Republicans have cautioned against new conflicts in a midterm year, while administration sources emphasize that military options remain on the table without active mobilization or congressional authorization. These factors anchor trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 60 percent, reflecting limited evidence of imminent clash amid competing foreign policy priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Объем
$109,376Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that no imminent military action against Cuba is planned despite President Trump's public threats and references to the island as "next" following tensions with Iran. Recent escalatory signals—including heightened U.S. intelligence flights near Cuban coasts, expanded sanctions on the regime, and Pentagon contingency planning—have prompted Cuban denunciations of aggression and calls for national defense preparations. However, Senate Republicans have cautioned against new conflicts in a midterm year, while administration sources emphasize that military options remain on the table without active mobilization or congressional authorization. These factors anchor trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 60 percent, reflecting limited evidence of imminent clash amid competing foreign policy priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$109,376Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that no imminent military action against Cuba is planned despite President Trump's public threats and references to the island as "next" following tensions with Iran. Recent escalatory signals—including heightened U.S. intelligence flights near Cuban coasts, expanded sanctions on the regime, and Pentagon contingency planning—have prompted Cuban denunciations of aggression and calls for national defense preparations. However, Senate Republicans have cautioned against new conflicts in a midterm year, while administration sources emphasize that military options remain on the table without active mobilization or congressional authorization. These factors anchor trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 60 percent, reflecting limited evidence of imminent clash amid competing foreign policy priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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