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icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

НОВОЕ
17 июл. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1 Объем

Polymarket

July 17

$1 Объем

46%

July 31

$0 Объем

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$1
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$1
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Vučić officially leaves office by…?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «July 31» с 48%, за ним следует «July 17» с 46%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 48¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Vučić officially leaves office by…?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 29, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Vučić officially leaves office by…?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Vučić officially leaves office by…?» — «July 31» с 48%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Следующий ближайший исход — «July 17» с 46%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Vučić officially leaves office by…?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.