Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party seeks a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party carries the opposition banner after his father’s endorsement consolidated right-wing support. Recent polling shows the pair statistically tied in simulated runoffs, with Lula holding a narrow first-round edge amid concerns over economic growth, public security, and his age. Other declared candidates, including Romeu Zema of NOVO and Ronaldo Caiado of the PSD, remain in single digits and could fragment conservative votes or influence coalition dynamics ahead of the potential October 25 runoff. Trader focus centers on whether endorsements from state governors or late economic data will shift first-round positioning before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие кандидаты выйдут во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?
Какие кандидаты выйдут во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?
$321,225 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
84%
Флавио Болсонару
72%
Фернанду Аддад
8%
Мишель Болсонару
4%
Жаир Болсонару
3%
Тарсисио де Фрейтас
3%
$321,225 Объем
Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
$135,114 Объем
84%
Флавио Болсонару
$20,621 Объем
72%
Фернанду Аддад
$51,472 Объем
8%
Мишель Болсонару
$26,646 Объем
4%
Жаир Болсонару
$11,325 Объем
3%
Тарсисио де Фрейтас
$76,048 Объем
3%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party seeks a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party carries the opposition banner after his father’s endorsement consolidated right-wing support. Recent polling shows the pair statistically tied in simulated runoffs, with Lula holding a narrow first-round edge amid concerns over economic growth, public security, and his age. Other declared candidates, including Romeu Zema of NOVO and Ronaldo Caiado of the PSD, remain in single digits and could fragment conservative votes or influence coalition dynamics ahead of the potential October 25 runoff. Trader focus centers on whether endorsements from state governors or late economic data will shift first-round positioning before ballots close.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
Объем
$321,225Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party seeks a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party carries the opposition banner after his father’s endorsement consolidated right-wing support. Recent polling shows the pair statistically tied in simulated runoffs, with Lula holding a narrow first-round edge amid concerns over economic growth, public security, and his age. Other declared candidates, including Romeu Zema of NOVO and Ronaldo Caiado of the PSD, remain in single digits and could fragment conservative votes or influence coalition dynamics ahead of the potential October 25 runoff. Trader focus centers on whether endorsements from state governors or late economic data will shift first-round positioning before ballots close.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$321,225Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party seeks a fourth term in Brazil’s October 4 first-round vote, while Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party carries the opposition banner after his father’s endorsement consolidated right-wing support. Recent polling shows the pair statistically tied in simulated runoffs, with Lula holding a narrow first-round edge amid concerns over economic growth, public security, and his age. Other declared candidates, including Romeu Zema of NOVO and Ronaldo Caiado of the PSD, remain in single digits and could fragment conservative votes or influence coalition dynamics ahead of the potential October 25 runoff. Trader focus centers on whether endorsements from state governors or late economic data will shift first-round positioning before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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