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Политика·США х Иран

Будет ли Трамп публично хвалить Мойтабу Хаменеи к пятнице?

icon for Будет ли Трамп публично хвалить Мойтабу Хаменеи к пятнице?
Политика·США х Иран

Будет ли Трамп публично хвалить Мойтабу Хаменеи к пятнице?

Да

60% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

60% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Recent U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations have driven trader sentiment, as President Trump has repeatedly described Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei as directly involved in approving a potential deal and “more rational” than his predecessor. In early June statements, Trump indicated he would be “honored” to meet Khamenei if terms are finalized and noted apparent mutual respect during indirect talks. These remarks, coupled with ongoing diplomatic momentum toward a settlement that could require Khamenei’s sign-off, have elevated the likelihood of public praise before the Friday deadline. Market pricing reflects the short resolution window and the administration’s emphasis on rapid progress in de-escalation efforts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.

Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Объем
$67
Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Recent U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations have driven trader sentiment, as President Trump has repeatedly described Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei as directly involved in approving a potential deal and “more rational” than his predecessor. In early June statements, Trump indicated he would be “honored” to meet Khamenei if terms are finalized and noted apparent mutual respect during indirect talks. These remarks, coupled with ongoing diplomatic momentum toward a settlement that could require Khamenei’s sign-off, have elevated the likelihood of public praise before the Friday deadline. Market pricing reflects the short resolution window and the administration’s emphasis on rapid progress in de-escalation efforts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.

Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Объем
$67
Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

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