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Геополитика·США х Иран

Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?

icon for Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?
Геополитика·США х Иран

Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?

НОВОЕ

$158,542 Объем

7 июл. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$158,542 Объем

Polymarket

Аббас Арагчи

$14,800 Объем

69%

Шейх Тамим бин Хамад Аль Тани

$5,790 Объем

48%

Шахбаз Шариф

$6,379 Объем

68%

Стив Уиткофф

$6,462 Объем

74%

Масуд Пезешкиан

$27,965 Объем

37%

Король Абдалла II

$11,787 Объем

7%

Мишаль Аль-Ахмад Аль-Джабер Ас-Сабах

$498 Объем

16%

Мохаммед бен Салман

$1,789 Объем

3%

Марко Рубио

$4,210 Объем

5%

Хамад бин Иса Аль Халифа

$1,572 Объем

13%

Мохаммед бин Зайед Аль Нахайян

$655 Объем

13%

Биньямин Нетаньяху

$1,705 Объем

1%

Абдель Фаттах ас-Сиси

$577 Объем

13%

Моджтаба Хаменеи

$8,118 Объем

1%

Пит Хегсет

$3,609 Объем

3%

Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

$997 Объем

11%

Джей Ди Вэнс

$13,047 Объем

85%

Дональд Трамп

$35,623 Объем

21%

Джаред Кушнер

$11,995 Объем

70%

Илон Маск

$970 Объем

1%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$158,542
Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$158,542
Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 20 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Джей Ди Вэнс» с 85%, за ним следует «Стив Уиткофф» с 74%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 85¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $158.5K с момента запуска рынка Jun 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?» — «Джей Ди Вэнс» с 85%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Стив Уиткофф» с 74%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто будет присутствовать на церемонии подписания соглашения между США и Ираном?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.