Republican control of the House, with a narrow majority and no Republican members signaling support for articles of impeachment, keeps the odds of House passage before December 31, 2026, low. Democratic lawmakers introduced multiple resolutions in late 2025 and early 2026 citing policy disputes and foreign policy actions, yet these measures remain stalled in committee without floor consideration. The November 2026 midterm elections could shift House control, but any new majority would not convene until January 2027, outside the market’s resolution window. Traders view the absence of bipartisan consensus and the Senate’s two-thirds conviction threshold as structural barriers that have historically prevented swift removal proceedings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House, with a narrow majority and no Republican members signaling support for articles of impeachment, keeps the odds of House passage before December 31, 2026, low. Democratic lawmakers introduced multiple resolutions in late 2025 and early 2026 citing policy disputes and foreign policy actions, yet these measures remain stalled in committee without floor consideration. The November 2026 midterm elections could shift House control, but any new majority would not convene until January 2027, outside the market’s resolution window. Traders view the absence of bipartisan consensus and the Senate’s two-thirds conviction threshold as structural barriers that have historically prevented swift removal proceedings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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