Republican control of the House through the 119th Congress creates the primary barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026, as articles require a majority vote that current partisan margins and leadership make improbable without bipartisan defections. The November 2026 midterms determine the next House, but any Democratic gains would not shift control until the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027, after the resolution deadline. Trader consensus at 97.6% for no impeachment reflects these institutional timelines and the absence of procedural momentum in the current chamber. Late-session developments, such as an unforeseen bipartisan coalition or rapid deterioration in support among Republican members ahead of the midterms, remain the narrow pathways that could still alter probabilities before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$1,001,841 Объем
$1,001,841 Объем
Да
$1,001,841 Объем
$1,001,841 Объем
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House through the 119th Congress creates the primary barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026, as articles require a majority vote that current partisan margins and leadership make improbable without bipartisan defections. The November 2026 midterms determine the next House, but any Democratic gains would not shift control until the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027, after the resolution deadline. Trader consensus at 97.6% for no impeachment reflects these institutional timelines and the absence of procedural momentum in the current chamber. Late-session developments, such as an unforeseen bipartisan coalition or rapid deterioration in support among Republican members ahead of the midterms, remain the narrow pathways that could still alter probabilities before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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