Recent final polls ahead of today’s Andalusian regional vote project Vox securing between 15 and 17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, anchoring trader focus on the 16-18 range as the likeliest result. The party’s vote share has stabilized near 14 percent after earlier expectations of stronger gains, reflecting a modest increase from its 14 seats in 2022 yet tempered by the Popular Party’s consistent lead near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This positioning reduces immediate coalition pressure on the PP while still positioning Vox as a potential swing actor if the conservative bloc falls short. Upcoming vote counting tonight will determine whether these projections hold or shift within the narrow bands currently priced by the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAndalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
16-18 50%
13-15 25%
19-21 20%
22+ 10.0%
$7,359 ปริมาณ
$7,359 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
<13
6%
13-15
25%
16-18
44%
19-21
15%
22+
10%
16-18 50%
13-15 25%
19-21 20%
22+ 10.0%
$7,359 ปริมาณ
$7,359 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
<13
$801 ปริมาณ
6%
13-15
$765 ปริมาณ
25%
16-18
$1,055 ปริมาณ
44%
19-21
$1,795 ปริมาณ
15%
22+
$2,943 ปริมาณ
10%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent final polls ahead of today’s Andalusian regional vote project Vox securing between 15 and 17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, anchoring trader focus on the 16-18 range as the likeliest result. The party’s vote share has stabilized near 14 percent after earlier expectations of stronger gains, reflecting a modest increase from its 14 seats in 2022 yet tempered by the Popular Party’s consistent lead near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This positioning reduces immediate coalition pressure on the PP while still positioning Vox as a potential swing actor if the conservative bloc falls short. Upcoming vote counting tonight will determine whether these projections hold or shift within the narrow bands currently priced by the market.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,359วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent final polls ahead of today’s Andalusian regional vote project Vox securing between 15 and 17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, anchoring trader focus on the 16-18 range as the likeliest result. The party’s vote share has stabilized near 14 percent after earlier expectations of stronger gains, reflecting a modest increase from its 14 seats in 2022 yet tempered by the Popular Party’s consistent lead near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This positioning reduces immediate coalition pressure on the PP while still positioning Vox as a potential swing actor if the conservative bloc falls short. Upcoming vote counting tonight will determine whether these projections hold or shift within the narrow bands currently priced by the market.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,359วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent final polls ahead of today’s Andalusian regional vote project Vox securing between 15 and 17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, anchoring trader focus on the 16-18 range as the likeliest result. The party’s vote share has stabilized near 14 percent after earlier expectations of stronger gains, reflecting a modest increase from its 14 seats in 2022 yet tempered by the Popular Party’s consistent lead near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This positioning reduces immediate coalition pressure on the PP while still positioning Vox as a potential swing actor if the conservative bloc falls short. Upcoming vote counting tonight will determine whether these projections hold or shift within the narrow bands currently priced by the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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