Alibaba's Qwen models, including Qwen3.5 Max Preview at rank 16 on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (1516 ELO as of May 12), currently hold the top spot among Chinese developers, driving trader consensus to price it as the leading outcome at 63% for the highest-ranked model by May 31 resolution. Baidu's Ernie 5.1 preview, released late April and climbing to around rank 34 (1497 ELO) with strong showings in math, legal, and search arenas, trails but fuels 19.5% odds amid rapid iterations and its Kunlunxin AI chip spinoff announced May 8. Zhipu AI's (Z.ai) GLM-5.1, topping open-weight coding and agentic benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro while acquiring major Zhongguancun real estate on May 9 signaling confidence, supports 9% positioning. Expectations for pre-deadline model updates and inference optimizations keep the race competitive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlibaba 64%
Baidu 18%
Z.ai 9%
ByteDance 2.6%
$81,278 ปริมาณ
$81,278 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Alibaba
64%
Baidu
18%
Z.ai
9%
ByteDance
3%
Moonshot
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Tencent
<1%
Meituan
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Alibaba 64%
Baidu 18%
Z.ai 9%
ByteDance 2.6%
$81,278 ปริมาณ
$81,278 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Alibaba
$15,992 ปริมาณ
64%
Baidu
$11,064 ปริมาณ
18%
Z.ai
$10,254 ปริมาณ
9%
ByteDance
$9,463 ปริมาณ
3%
Moonshot
$5,499 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$6,158 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$6,886 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$5,163 ปริมาณ
1%
Tencent
$4,598 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$3,068 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$3,133 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba's Qwen models, including Qwen3.5 Max Preview at rank 16 on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (1516 ELO as of May 12), currently hold the top spot among Chinese developers, driving trader consensus to price it as the leading outcome at 63% for the highest-ranked model by May 31 resolution. Baidu's Ernie 5.1 preview, released late April and climbing to around rank 34 (1497 ELO) with strong showings in math, legal, and search arenas, trails but fuels 19.5% odds amid rapid iterations and its Kunlunxin AI chip spinoff announced May 8. Zhipu AI's (Z.ai) GLM-5.1, topping open-weight coding and agentic benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro while acquiring major Zhongguancun real estate on May 9 signaling confidence, supports 9% positioning. Expectations for pre-deadline model updates and inference optimizations keep the race competitive.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,278วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba's Qwen models, including Qwen3.5 Max Preview at rank 16 on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (1516 ELO as of May 12), currently hold the top spot among Chinese developers, driving trader consensus to price it as the leading outcome at 63% for the highest-ranked model by May 31 resolution. Baidu's Ernie 5.1 preview, released late April and climbing to around rank 34 (1497 ELO) with strong showings in math, legal, and search arenas, trails but fuels 19.5% odds amid rapid iterations and its Kunlunxin AI chip spinoff announced May 8. Zhipu AI's (Z.ai) GLM-5.1, topping open-weight coding and agentic benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro while acquiring major Zhongguancun real estate on May 9 signaling confidence, supports 9% positioning. Expectations for pre-deadline model updates and inference optimizations keep the race competitive.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,278วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba's Qwen models, including Qwen3.5 Max Preview at rank 16 on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (1516 ELO as of May 12), currently hold the top spot among Chinese developers, driving trader consensus to price it as the leading outcome at 63% for the highest-ranked model by May 31 resolution. Baidu's Ernie 5.1 preview, released late April and climbing to around rank 34 (1497 ELO) with strong showings in math, legal, and search arenas, trails but fuels 19.5% odds amid rapid iterations and its Kunlunxin AI chip spinoff announced May 8. Zhipu AI's (Z.ai) GLM-5.1, topping open-weight coding and agentic benchmarks like SWE-Bench Pro while acquiring major Zhongguancun real estate on May 9 signaling confidence, supports 9% positioning. Expectations for pre-deadline model updates and inference optimizations keep the race competitive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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