Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys released in mid-August 2026 show Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round vote intention for the Ceará gubernatorial contest, with margins ranging from a statistical tie to double-digit advantages for Gomes. Traders appear to weigh these consistent polling trends, Gomes’s prior experience as state governor, and limited support for other declared candidates when pricing the outcome. Campaign launches by the front-runners and ongoing positioning ahead of the October 2026 vote have reinforced the current ordering, while minor contenders such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible shares. The implied probability favors Gomes as the frontrunner unless later surveys or events materially shift the race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 61%
Elmano de Freitas 39%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$175,957 ปริมาณ
$175,957 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
61%
Elmano de Freitas
39%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 61%
Elmano de Freitas 39%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$175,957 ปริมาณ
$175,957 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$89,587 ปริมาณ
61%
Elmano de Freitas
$34,418 ปริมาณ
39%
Eduardo Girão
$13,613 ปริมาณ
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$13,098 ปริมาณ
<1%
Camilo Santana
$12,047 ปริมาณ
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$13,194 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys released in mid-August 2026 show Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round vote intention for the Ceará gubernatorial contest, with margins ranging from a statistical tie to double-digit advantages for Gomes. Traders appear to weigh these consistent polling trends, Gomes’s prior experience as state governor, and limited support for other declared candidates when pricing the outcome. Campaign launches by the front-runners and ongoing positioning ahead of the October 2026 vote have reinforced the current ordering, while minor contenders such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible shares. The implied probability favors Gomes as the frontrunner unless later surveys or events materially shift the race.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$175,957วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys released in mid-August 2026 show Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round vote intention for the Ceará gubernatorial contest, with margins ranging from a statistical tie to double-digit advantages for Gomes. Traders appear to weigh these consistent polling trends, Gomes’s prior experience as state governor, and limited support for other declared candidates when pricing the outcome. Campaign launches by the front-runners and ongoing positioning ahead of the October 2026 vote have reinforced the current ordering, while minor contenders such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible shares. The implied probability favors Gomes as the frontrunner unless later surveys or events materially shift the race.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$175,957วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel and Datafolha surveys released in mid-August 2026 show Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round vote intention for the Ceará gubernatorial contest, with margins ranging from a statistical tie to double-digit advantages for Gomes. Traders appear to weigh these consistent polling trends, Gomes’s prior experience as state governor, and limited support for other declared candidates when pricing the outcome. Campaign launches by the front-runners and ongoing positioning ahead of the October 2026 vote have reinforced the current ordering, while minor contenders such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible shares. The implied probability favors Gomes as the frontrunner unless later surveys or events materially shift the race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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