Polymarket traders price a tight race between 0.6–1.0% annual CPI (33.5% implied probability) and 1.1–1.5% (29.5%), reflecting uncertainty over China's reflation trajectory after April's consumer price index accelerated to 1.2% year-over-year—beating consensus forecasts of 0.8%—driven by energy cost surges from Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict. The January–April average stands at 0.9%, aligning with IMF projections of 1.2% for full-year 2026 near Beijing's ~2% target, but persistent deflation risks from weak domestic demand, property sector drag, and subdued core inflation temper upside. Key differentiators include PBOC easing efficacy and fiscal stimulus impacts, with May CPI data poised as the next catalyst amid trader consensus on low-single-digit outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5% 44%
0.6 – 1.0% 33%
2.0-2.4% 8.2%
1.6 – 2.0% 6.5%
$39,903 ปริมาณ
$39,903 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
4%
0.6 – 1.0%
33%
1.1 – 1.5%
30%
1.6 – 2.0%
7%
2.0-2.4%
8%
2.5%+
7%
1.1 – 1.5% 44%
0.6 – 1.0% 33%
2.0-2.4% 8.2%
1.6 – 2.0% 6.5%
$39,903 ปริมาณ
$39,903 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$17,461 ปริมาณ
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,317 ปริมาณ
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$2,534 ปริมาณ
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,821 ปริมาณ
4%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,926 ปริมาณ
33%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,312 ปริมาณ
30%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,628 ปริมาณ
7%
2.0-2.4%
$2,400 ปริมาณ
8%
2.5%+
$2,504 ปริมาณ
7%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders price a tight race between 0.6–1.0% annual CPI (33.5% implied probability) and 1.1–1.5% (29.5%), reflecting uncertainty over China's reflation trajectory after April's consumer price index accelerated to 1.2% year-over-year—beating consensus forecasts of 0.8%—driven by energy cost surges from Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict. The January–April average stands at 0.9%, aligning with IMF projections of 1.2% for full-year 2026 near Beijing's ~2% target, but persistent deflation risks from weak domestic demand, property sector drag, and subdued core inflation temper upside. Key differentiators include PBOC easing efficacy and fiscal stimulus impacts, with May CPI data poised as the next catalyst amid trader consensus on low-single-digit outcomes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,903วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders price a tight race between 0.6–1.0% annual CPI (33.5% implied probability) and 1.1–1.5% (29.5%), reflecting uncertainty over China's reflation trajectory after April's consumer price index accelerated to 1.2% year-over-year—beating consensus forecasts of 0.8%—driven by energy cost surges from Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict. The January–April average stands at 0.9%, aligning with IMF projections of 1.2% for full-year 2026 near Beijing's ~2% target, but persistent deflation risks from weak domestic demand, property sector drag, and subdued core inflation temper upside. Key differentiators include PBOC easing efficacy and fiscal stimulus impacts, with May CPI data poised as the next catalyst amid trader consensus on low-single-digit outcomes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,903วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a tight race between 0.6–1.0% annual CPI (33.5% implied probability) and 1.1–1.5% (29.5%), reflecting uncertainty over China's reflation trajectory after April's consumer price index accelerated to 1.2% year-over-year—beating consensus forecasts of 0.8%—driven by energy cost surges from Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict. The January–April average stands at 0.9%, aligning with IMF projections of 1.2% for full-year 2026 near Beijing's ~2% target, but persistent deflation risks from weak domestic demand, property sector drag, and subdued core inflation temper upside. Key differentiators include PBOC easing efficacy and fiscal stimulus impacts, with May CPI data poised as the next catalyst amid trader consensus on low-single-digit outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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