**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of England’s September 17, 2026 meeting, with market-implied odds at 90.5% for holding the Bank Rate steady at its current 3.75% level.** This positioning reflects the MPC’s July decision to maintain rates on a 6-3 vote, alongside the latest inflation reading of 2.6% for June 2026 (down from 2.8% in May). The BoE’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a temporary rise in CPI toward 3.2% in Q4 due to energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict, but views this as transitory and expects underlying disinflation to continue. Recent communications emphasize that current policy settings are appropriate to return inflation to the 2% target over the medium term, with the committee monitoring labor market and services price data closely. SONIA futures and economist surveys have priced in a flat path near term, consistent with the strong hold probability on Polymarket. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this include a sharper-than-expected July CPI print (due August 19) or further escalation in energy costs that alters the BoE’s inflation trajectory, potentially increasing the odds of a 25 basis point hike. Conversely, significantly weaker growth or labor data could reopen cut discussions, though near-term risks currently tilt toward stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of England decision in September?
Bank of England decision in September?
No change 91%
25 bps increase 9.8%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$136,922 ปริมาณ
$136,922 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
91%
25 bps increase
10%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 91%
25 bps increase 9.8%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$136,922 ปริมาณ
$136,922 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$10,102 ปริมาณ
<1%
25 bps decrease
$12,713 ปริมาณ
<1%
No change
$53,501 ปริมาณ
91%
25 bps increase
$47,459 ปริมาณ
10%
50+ bps increase
$13,147 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of England’s September 17, 2026 meeting, with market-implied odds at 90.5% for holding the Bank Rate steady at its current 3.75% level.** This positioning reflects the MPC’s July decision to maintain rates on a 6-3 vote, alongside the latest inflation reading of 2.6% for June 2026 (down from 2.8% in May). The BoE’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a temporary rise in CPI toward 3.2% in Q4 due to energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict, but views this as transitory and expects underlying disinflation to continue.
Recent communications emphasize that current policy settings are appropriate to return inflation to the 2% target over the medium term, with the committee monitoring labor market and services price data closely. SONIA futures and economist surveys have priced in a flat path near term, consistent with the strong hold probability on Polymarket.
Realistic scenarios that could challenge this include a sharper-than-expected July CPI print (due August 19) or further escalation in energy costs that alters the BoE’s inflation trajectory, potentially increasing the odds of a 25 basis point hike. Conversely, significantly weaker growth or labor data could reopen cut discussions, though near-term risks currently tilt toward stability.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,922วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of England’s September 17, 2026 meeting, with market-implied odds at 90.5% for holding the Bank Rate steady at its current 3.75% level.** This positioning reflects the MPC’s July decision to maintain rates on a 6-3 vote, alongside the latest inflation reading of 2.6% for June 2026 (down from 2.8% in May). The BoE’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a temporary rise in CPI toward 3.2% in Q4 due to energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict, but views this as transitory and expects underlying disinflation to continue.
Recent communications emphasize that current policy settings are appropriate to return inflation to the 2% target over the medium term, with the committee monitoring labor market and services price data closely. SONIA futures and economist surveys have priced in a flat path near term, consistent with the strong hold probability on Polymarket.
Realistic scenarios that could challenge this include a sharper-than-expected July CPI print (due August 19) or further escalation in energy costs that alters the BoE’s inflation trajectory, potentially increasing the odds of a 25 basis point hike. Conversely, significantly weaker growth or labor data could reopen cut discussions, though near-term risks currently tilt toward stability.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,922วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of England’s September 17, 2026 meeting, with market-implied odds at 90.5% for holding the Bank Rate steady at its current 3.75% level.** This positioning reflects the MPC’s July decision to maintain rates on a 6-3 vote, alongside the latest inflation reading of 2.6% for June 2026 (down from 2.8% in May). The BoE’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a temporary rise in CPI toward 3.2% in Q4 due to energy price volatility from the Middle East conflict, but views this as transitory and expects underlying disinflation to continue. Recent communications emphasize that current policy settings are appropriate to return inflation to the 2% target over the medium term, with the committee monitoring labor market and services price data closely. SONIA futures and economist surveys have priced in a flat path near term, consistent with the strong hold probability on Polymarket. Realistic scenarios that could challenge this include a sharper-than-expected July CPI print (due August 19) or further escalation in energy costs that alters the BoE’s inflation trajectory, potentially increasing the odds of a 25 basis point hike. Conversely, significantly weaker growth or labor data could reopen cut discussions, though near-term risks currently tilt toward stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย