**Deep Fission’s Nasdaq IPO filing, launched May 20, 2026, positions the company for a potential $1.4–1.66 billion valuation at the $24–26 per share range, yet trader sentiment heavily favors a sub-$1.25 billion closing market cap.** The pre-revenue advanced nuclear startup, developing small modular pressurized-water reactors for one-mile-deep borehole deployment to power AI data centers, faces skepticism over its unproven underground SMR technology, limited operating history, and prior non-trading SPAC reverse merger. Recent media coverage highlights execution risks, including DOE pilot program participation and NRC pre-application activities, alongside questions about commercialization timelines for its first pilot reactor targeted for 2026–2027. These factors, combined with the speculative nature of early-stage nuclear ventures, drive the market-implied odds toward a conservative outcome while the modest 11.3% probability of no IPO before August 2026 reflects ongoing regulatory and market-absorption uncertainties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<$1.25B 61.9%
$1.25B–$1.5B 14.3%
$2.5B–$3.0B 10.9%
$1.5B–$1.75B 6%
$19,873 ปริมาณ
$19,873 ปริมาณ
May 29, 2026
<$1.25B
62%
$1.25B–$1.5B
14%
$1.5B–$1.75B
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
5%
$2.0B–$2.5B
12%
$2.5B–$3.0B
11%
$3.0B+
5%
No IPO before August 2026
11%
<$1.25B 61.9%
$1.25B–$1.5B 14.3%
$2.5B–$3.0B 10.9%
$1.5B–$1.75B 6%
$19,873 ปริมาณ
$19,873 ปริมาณ
May 29, 2026
<$1.25B
$1,369 ปริมาณ
62%
$1.25B–$1.5B
$867 ปริมาณ
14%
$1.5B–$1.75B
$9,660 ปริมาณ
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
$4,372 ปริมาณ
5%
$2.0B–$2.5B
$815 ปริมาณ
12%
$2.5B–$3.0B
$619 ปริมาณ
11%
$3.0B+
$734 ปริมาณ
5%
No IPO before August 2026
$1,457 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**Deep Fission’s Nasdaq IPO filing, launched May 20, 2026, positions the company for a potential $1.4–1.66 billion valuation at the $24–26 per share range, yet trader sentiment heavily favors a sub-$1.25 billion closing market cap.** The pre-revenue advanced nuclear startup, developing small modular pressurized-water reactors for one-mile-deep borehole deployment to power AI data centers, faces skepticism over its unproven underground SMR technology, limited operating history, and prior non-trading SPAC reverse merger. Recent media coverage highlights execution risks, including DOE pilot program participation and NRC pre-application activities, alongside questions about commercialization timelines for its first pilot reactor targeted for 2026–2027. These factors, combined with the speculative nature of early-stage nuclear ventures, drive the market-implied odds toward a conservative outcome while the modest 11.3% probability of no IPO before August 2026 reflects ongoing regulatory and market-absorption uncertainties.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,873วันสิ้นสุด
May 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**Deep Fission’s Nasdaq IPO filing, launched May 20, 2026, positions the company for a potential $1.4–1.66 billion valuation at the $24–26 per share range, yet trader sentiment heavily favors a sub-$1.25 billion closing market cap.** The pre-revenue advanced nuclear startup, developing small modular pressurized-water reactors for one-mile-deep borehole deployment to power AI data centers, faces skepticism over its unproven underground SMR technology, limited operating history, and prior non-trading SPAC reverse merger. Recent media coverage highlights execution risks, including DOE pilot program participation and NRC pre-application activities, alongside questions about commercialization timelines for its first pilot reactor targeted for 2026–2027. These factors, combined with the speculative nature of early-stage nuclear ventures, drive the market-implied odds toward a conservative outcome while the modest 11.3% probability of no IPO before August 2026 reflects ongoing regulatory and market-absorption uncertainties.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,873วันสิ้นสุด
May 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Deep Fission’s Nasdaq IPO filing, launched May 20, 2026, positions the company for a potential $1.4–1.66 billion valuation at the $24–26 per share range, yet trader sentiment heavily favors a sub-$1.25 billion closing market cap.** The pre-revenue advanced nuclear startup, developing small modular pressurized-water reactors for one-mile-deep borehole deployment to power AI data centers, faces skepticism over its unproven underground SMR technology, limited operating history, and prior non-trading SPAC reverse merger. Recent media coverage highlights execution risks, including DOE pilot program participation and NRC pre-application activities, alongside questions about commercialization timelines for its first pilot reactor targeted for 2026–2027. These factors, combined with the speculative nature of early-stage nuclear ventures, drive the market-implied odds toward a conservative outcome while the modest 11.3% probability of no IPO before August 2026 reflects ongoing regulatory and market-absorption uncertainties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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