Shevrin Jones holds the strongest position in the Democratic primary for Florida’s 24th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, 2026, following polls from early August that showed him leading with 33-35% support among likely voters, ahead of Oliver Gilbert III and Kendrick Meek Jr. Recent endorsements from groups such as the Congressional Progressive Caucus and ALPHA PAC have reinforced his frontrunner status in the race to replace retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson. A crowded field of seven candidates and late-stage negative messaging, including anonymous texts targeting Jones, have not shifted the polling advantage. Traders price the outcome according to these indicators of voter preference and organizational backing in the final days before the primary.