Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner at 45.5% to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 32.8%, amid a fragmented 17-candidate field where single transferable vote transfers will prove decisive for the vacancy left by President Catherine Connolly. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll showed Kyne edging first preferences 17%-16% over Thomas, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but a May 12 report alleging Kyne blackmailed and harassed a former agency CEO has fueled controversy, boosting anti-establishment sentiment favoring Thomas. Cost-of-living pressures and fuel protest stances dominate, with a May 18 Galway Bay FM debate looming.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGalway-West By-Election Winner?
Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Noel Thomas 45%
Seán Kyne 32.6%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 10.2%
Helen Ogbu 7.0%
$44,065 ปริมาณ
$44,065 ปริมาณ
Mar 31, 2027
Sheila Garrity
1%
Seán Kyne
33%
Niall Murphy
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
10%
Orla Nugent
<1%
Helen Ogbu
7%
Denman Rooke
1%
Noel Thomas
45%
Thomas Welby
<1%
Mike Cubbard
5%
Mark Lohan
5%
Noel Thomas 45%
Seán Kyne 32.6%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 10.2%
Helen Ogbu 7.0%
$44,065 ปริมาณ
$44,065 ปริมาณ
Mar 31, 2027
Sheila Garrity
$20,198 ปริมาณ
1%
Seán Kyne
$3,353 ปริมาณ
33%
Niall Murphy
$1,792 ปริมาณ
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
$1,589 ปริมาณ
10%
Orla Nugent
$1,592 ปริมาณ
<1%
Helen Ogbu
$2,875 ปริมาณ
7%
Denman Rooke
$1,564 ปริมาณ
1%
Noel Thomas
$4,982 ปริมาณ
45%
Thomas Welby
$1,609 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mike Cubbard
$2,051 ปริมาณ
5%
Mark Lohan
$2,461 ปริมาณ
5%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner at 45.5% to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 32.8%, amid a fragmented 17-candidate field where single transferable vote transfers will prove decisive for the vacancy left by President Catherine Connolly. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll showed Kyne edging first preferences 17%-16% over Thomas, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but a May 12 report alleging Kyne blackmailed and harassed a former agency CEO has fueled controversy, boosting anti-establishment sentiment favoring Thomas. Cost-of-living pressures and fuel protest stances dominate, with a May 18 Galway Bay FM debate looming.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,065วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner at 45.5% to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 32.8%, amid a fragmented 17-candidate field where single transferable vote transfers will prove decisive for the vacancy left by President Catherine Connolly. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll showed Kyne edging first preferences 17%-16% over Thomas, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but a May 12 report alleging Kyne blackmailed and harassed a former agency CEO has fueled controversy, boosting anti-establishment sentiment favoring Thomas. Cost-of-living pressures and fuel protest stances dominate, with a May 18 Galway Bay FM debate looming.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,065วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner at 45.5% to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 32.8%, amid a fragmented 17-candidate field where single transferable vote transfers will prove decisive for the vacancy left by President Catherine Connolly. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll showed Kyne edging first preferences 17%-16% over Thomas, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but a May 12 report alleging Kyne blackmailed and harassed a former agency CEO has fueled controversy, boosting anti-establishment sentiment favoring Thomas. Cost-of-living pressures and fuel protest stances dominate, with a May 18 Galway Bay FM debate looming.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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